TX-23 Hurd Retiring

[lfromnj]

Definitely more likely to flip than not now. Same goes for GA-07.

I mean this is a Clinton +3 district. Ga 7th is still Trump +6.5. Im keeping that at tossup/tilt R but this is definetely lean/Likely D.

[lfromnj]

Also LOL

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/8/1/1876006/-This-post-on-Republican-House-retirements-might-be-out-of-date-by-the-time-you-read-it

[lfromnj]

Also LOL

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/8/1/1876006/-This-post-on-Republican-House-retirements-might-be-out-of-date-by-the-time-you-read-it

It's interesting that Herd wasn't listed in that article. It seems his retirement wasn't expected.

Its from 4:52 Pm today. I just went to see RRH/DKE reaction and LOL that article was fast.

[lfromnj]

inb4 a texas republican comes to announce that this is actually a good thing because this allows pete flores to run and he'll make it likely r

RRH is on the way. Although Flores is probably the best candidate the GOP can pick here?

[lfromnj]

Two thoughts:

1. The Beto margins or something close to them are becoming the new normal on the ground, and GOP incumbents want out rather than competitive races. Especially in the governing minority, that looks to be sticking through 2020.

2. Part of me is now wondering, with 4 incumbents now out of TX, if there is some GOP operatives in the background trying to align 2020 incumbents and their bases to prepare for the remap - or get dems to draw out. But that is a very dodgy plan, and requires people to put aside their egos so I'm probably thinking too hard.

Beto actually did kinda mediocre as expected(obviously not losing the district like 11 points like some poll stated) but only a 5 point win compared to like 7 points for Texas 7th and a Double digit victory in Texas 32nd.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1157089217341775872

[lfromnj]

Also the WAPO article says he has been making trips to SC,IA,and NH.
https://twitter.com/BobMooreNews/status/1157079457837936640

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/CesarJBlanco/status/1173625982470762496

The Democrat who represents a loosely contiguous house seat will not go for GOJ in the primary, and instead challenge the GOP dude who won a low turnout special.

If I remember this is a heavily Democratic District where are the Republican winning was considered quite a fluke due to abysmal turn out. Hopefully Blanco flips this!

Its a pretty Democratic district but not Titanium D. I think about Clinton +9?