13 House Republicans vote to terminate Trump's National Emergency

[lfromnj]

The level of danger each rep is in 2020


Amash- Almost certainly safe although his district isn't that red at the presidential level. Also his vote is definitely ideological Likely R-borderline Safe

Herrera Buetler: District is trending red lightly but is still swingish but she always had some moderate streak. Likely R

Fitzpatrick: In a obama Clinton district. Also in big danger as he got lucky by facing a weak candidate in 2018. Somewhere between Tossup and Lean R

Stefanik- Is in a Obama Trump district but always had a moderate streak. Also district far right in 2016 from Obama +6 to Trump +14. Safe R

Johnson- SD is safe R and this probably hurts him a bit tbh(still Safe)

Francis Rooney- Don't really know his district but its Romney and Trump +20 which means its Safe R.

Hurd- Definitely in big danger 2020. Only won by half a point against a triaged opponent. Saved by Nevada tier polls. In a Romney Clinton district. Tossup

Gallagher-Voted for obama in 2008 by his national margin but then swung back to +4 Romney which made it still swingy but Trump won it by 20 Points. Safe R.

Massie: Its Cincinatti burb Kentucky Safe R. Trump +30. Massie also has a ideological brand like Amash.

Walden-He had a surprisingly closer than normal election in 2018 but still Safe R. Trump+21. A quiet member of congress but one of the old republican brand. If I had to guess he has an ideology similar to OSR.

Sensebrenner- TITANIUM D WOW. jk its still WOW Safe R.

Upton- Somewhere between Likely and Lean R. Its a pretty stead district. Romney +2 and trump +8 so a light R trend but nothing severe like Wa 3rd. Upton is also retirement prone in 2020.

Mcmorris Rodgers- A district with a mix of trends went from Romney +10 to Trump +13. Is relatively Safe in 2020 and should have no trouble holding on excusing a mega R wave.

[lfromnj]

Also John Katko was not in congress due to his father's death

[lfromnj]

Also if the Late Walter Jones was still in congress he would have certainly voted yes.