Is WI-06 becoming competitive? (user search)
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  Is WI-06 becoming competitive? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is WI-06 becoming competitive?  (Read 1206 times)
lfromnj
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« on: December 20, 2018, 10:12:26 AM »

there really wasn't a wave in Wisconsin. It basically acted like Ohio shifted 6 points compared to Michigan and Pennsylvania which were much better overall.

The longterm trends in WI aren't that good either. PA has good long term trends while MI is a wait and watch.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2018, 10:18:59 AM »

Gut feeling is that this district as constructed now won't survive 2021 redistricting. The United States District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin (Obama-Obama-Carter makeup) will in all likelihood draw the next map. I imagine there are going to be some fundamental changes coming to how things are drawn and WI-01, WI-03 and WI-06 seem like prime targets for change. 

does the make up even matter for the court?
I highly doubt a court made map would be an active gerrymander.
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