It's probably more than 49.5% black now.
It might be, given the 3 urban clusters have become slightly blacker while losing population; however, most everywhere else in the district is becoming whiter or remaining the same while losing tons of population.
This'll require the district to cover more geographic territory as it is and will likely further weaken the "compact racial, ethnic, or language minority community" threshold for VRA status.
I also believe one of our expert redistricting fellows here (muon or jimrtex) mentioned some time ago that they too believed the district to not be VRA-required.
I'd like to see what happens if the legislature and governor try to take away the representation for African American voters in Southwest Georgia. The optics alone of it are something to consider.
Yeah coz voters care so much about gerrymandering that it effects their votes?
I mean they might say muh gerrymandering is bad but then anyone can just point to MDs 3rd or even Il 4th(ik its not a partisan gerrymander)