US Senate elections, 2024

[lfromnj]

JD Ford might be a sleeper contender against Braun in 2024, especially as Hamilton County trends further left.  I also see him being able to turn out the base in Gary, Indy, and Bloomington.  He won't have Donnelly's problem of not having any appeal to the base. 

don't forget donnelly still overperformed you average dem in rurals. You need the crazy turnout and those numbers in rurals.

The future path to winning Indiana is not through Vigo racist hicks but through Neoliberal rich Hamilton voters. next time democrats win Indiana they will win Hamilton.

[lfromnj]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

[lfromnj]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

"Large conservative base" is an incredibly vague term, and white rural people in New England are not the same as white rural people elsewhere (though the extent to which that will remain true is up for debate).

They elected lepage with 40% of the vote. Besides vermont basically any other white group that heavy is not gonna keep being liberal.

[lfromnj]

Ted cruz should be removed from electoral politics.
Give him a SCOTUS or at the very least a circuit seat. He gets confirmed easily.

[lfromnj]

I'm assuming Angus King retires, but everyone else runs.

No way Feinstein is running at age 91. Hopefully Cruz retires or is on the Supreme Court by then

Manchin should retire and Cruz should go on SCOTUS. HE should be banned from electoral politics.

[lfromnj]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

Large conservative base is key word
They had a large enough base to elect Lepage.
And Maine is no vermont . It voted for Hillary by 3.

[lfromnj]

WV is an insta R pickup. Maybe MT and OH too

yeah ill go with that for WV and OH is tossup and montana is a wtf . The liberal parts of Montana are growing really fast and Tester is a survivor. Plus we all know he will win garfield county in 2024.