TX-SEN 2018 Precinct Result Maps

[lfromnj]

But Betos loss shows that texas will permanently be a red state.
Im gonna have to wait for your name to change to Trump may lose Texas.

[lfromnj]

Yeah Marchant definetely retires soon. He really doesn't want to campaign. He probably saw what happened to Culberson and Sessions(and Sessions had the theory of campaigning) and doesn't want to see the point.

[lfromnj]

I think Beto likely won a majority of state House seats. Wow. There were so many House seats on the knife’s edge that Dem challengers just narrowly lost

They can't exactly gerrymander state house seats to the rurals either. Senate and congress they can fajitta strip but not state house.
Yeah the texas state house is definitely going democrat in the next dem wave.
Also population change just makes it easier for democrats.

[lfromnj]

Yeah Marchant definetely retires soon. He really doesn't want to campaign. He probably saw what happened to Culberson and Sessions(and Sessions had the theory of campaigning) and doesn't want to see the point.

I think basically all the races R’s won by 4 or less on Tuesday in texas should start out as insta tossups depending on challengers. Most these districts weren’t even seriously contested

yeah or atleast Lean Rs for Olson and Carter considering their challengers were pretty strong. But kenny marchant was someone I never even heard of until like 3 days before. I dont even think Pelosi mentioned the challenger when she mentioned six candidates who could win. Yeah Marchant looks pretty screwed in the near future. I think Texas republicans drop him to save a gerrymander even if he survives 2020.

[lfromnj]

I am thinking Republicans should do a low-risk gerrymander of the burbs and just dig Allred's district into exurban collin, as well as making a safe r Tarrant county seat for Granger and Marchant to fight over. For fletcher's seat, they could take away democratic Belaire and put in a lot of Crenshaw district, and expand his out into Montgomery(maybe even Lizzie's too). I think republicans still have some options and can replicate the 25-11 map

Yeah no if Texas has 39 seats reps should give dems atleast 15 and probably 16 seats out of them to actually keep their gerrymander. Anything else is just GA 1990's all over again except in the reverse or VA 2010's and what happened in 2018. We saw what happened with VA on Tuesday going from 4-7 to 7-4. reps in VA are self packed into the southwest and remove that corner and VA is probably more democrat than so many other states. Going for an aggresive cracking gerrymander is just asking to be dummymandered. Look at the dallas gerrymander which went from a 6-8 to now a 12-2 LMAO.

[lfromnj]

Holy sh**t, Dems won a state House seat in DENTON COUNTY?

Yeah, and another one in Denton was not that far off...

64 (Denton County) 52.8%-44.5%

And 2 were really close in Collin County.

66 (Collin County) 50.3%-49.7%
67 (Collin County) 51.1%-48.9%

And 2 state house districts won in Williamson County (one of them not just won, but burbstomped by 10 points !!!).

Plus I would bet Beto probably outran the Dem State House candidates in all or most of these districts.

If trump loses 2020 Texas state house is Tilt R. Its absolutely winnable for democrats and I don't know the media hasn't noticed how narrow the margin is in the state house.

[lfromnj]

For fletcher's seat, they could take away democratic Belaire and put in a lot of Crenshaw district, and expand his out into Montgomery(maybe even Lizzie's too).

It's hilarious and an indication of the direction TX is headed to see the phrase "Democratic Bellaire" used non-ironically.

Yeah republicans have to baconstrip Texas.

Btw I saw a 33-3 map Texas(R)  I wonder how that would have done this year.

[lfromnj]

For fletcher's seat, they could take away democratic Belaire and put in a lot of Crenshaw district, and expand his out into Montgomery(maybe even Lizzie's too).

It's hilarious and an indication of the direction TX is headed to see the phrase "Democratic Bellaire" used non-ironically.

Yeah republicans have to baconstrip Texas.

Btw I saw a 33-3 map Texas(R)  I wonder how that would have done this year.

Here is a 35-3 map I drew with 2020 population estimates which ignores the Voting Rights Act. I would be really interested in seeing the Beto #s, because this map is really playing with fire.



https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=294399.msg6294129#msg6294129

yeah thats the one I meant.
I love how you made that map and I think you would probably take it for the next decade.

[lfromnj]

More panic mode from the Texas GOP

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1061443465463169024

Yeah Beto almost Carried PLANOS district.

THEY NEED TO REGERRYMANDER THE MAPS SOON. Cut their losses with Fletcher and Culberson and protect the rest.

[lfromnj]

What's that GOP area in the north centre part of Dallas county that's so close to downtown?

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2011/12/highland-park-texas-gop-stronghold/

Even then it went from 80% Romney to 65% Trump or so.

Looks like O’Rourke kept it within twenty points

I wonder what the fundraising was from this location.