US House Redistricting: Iowa (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: Iowa (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Iowa  (Read 27085 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 07, 2020, 04:12:10 PM »
« edited: November 07, 2020, 04:35:24 PM by lfromnj »

As the Iowa GOP has expanded their majorities in both chambers there is a good chance they could ignore the commission .







They can either go for a 4-0 map or a 3-1 map if they chose too. The GOP could probably sweep a 4-0 map in a Biden midterm although 3-1 just make everyone happier and 4-0 would probably go badly just like a pure 3-0 in NM could go a bit badly.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2020, 05:47:06 PM »

As the Iowa GOP has expanded their majorities in both chambers there is a good chance they could ignore the commission .







They can either go for a 4-0 map or a 3-1 map if they chose too. The GOP could probably sweep a 4-0 map in a Biden midterm although 3-1 just make everyone happier and 4-0 would probably go badly just like a pure 3-0 in NM could go a bit badly.
numbers in those?


Trump +15 each for first and Trump +6 is the closest in the  2nd map.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2021, 03:05:01 PM »

Put together a State Senate map:



https://davesredistricting.org/join/3292b655-5664-42a6-9abd-f9433c58b7dd

Seat composition:
2016: 34 Trump16 Clinton
2018: 31 Reynolds19 Hubbell

State House map:



https://davesredistricting.org/join/777a517a-251c-4e74-a547-5cb37e6b7f14

Seat composition:
2016: 66 Trump34 Clinton
2018: 57 Reynolds43 Hubbell

Can you get these maps color-coded for partisan purposes?  I have no doubt I will see a Republican sea of red (or Atlas blue) interspersed with a few tiny Democratic islands, but still.  


Are these meant to be Republican gerrymanders, or is it just the nature of geography in Iowa that Dems will win a much lower % of the seats than their PV performance reflects? Specifically looking at the share of Hubbell seats relative to his ~48% share of the popular vote.

The latter. The current map is fairly similar in the number of Clinton districts.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2021, 09:20:34 PM »

So is it possible to make a State Senate map and a State House map where the median seat voted for Reynolds by the same margin as the state as whole and Hubbell won a percentage of seats equal to his statewide vote share? Bonus points if county splits are kept to the minimum necessary.
Also: does the geography get better for Ds or worse when the districts get bigger?

better clearly as the median district goes to like 5 points left of the state.
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