IBD/TIPP: Biden +6 (user search)
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  IBD/TIPP: Biden +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP: Biden +6  (Read 561 times)
soundchaser
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« on: September 21, 2020, 11:00:42 AM »
Quote from: kireev on September 21, 2020, 10:59:14 AM
Assume it's Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, another candidate 5%, did dot vote 9% and calculate the numbers. I came up with Biden 53%, Trump 40%. I assume their 2016 sample was kind of heavily skewed towards Trump.

It was -- their final poll had him winning the popular vote by about 2%.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 11:06:31 AM »
Quote from: kireev on September 21, 2020, 11:05:00 AM
To get to Biden's 5-6% lead they had to have Trump at about +6 or +7 in their 2016 sample.

Oh, I see what you mean. Sorry, I can't read.
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