NJ-03: Runyan in the lead by 10

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

It got 1 point more Republican. In no way should this district be treated as safe R. Obama still won it by 3.5 points.

In terms of a New Jersey district, there's simply no way for Democrats to win here. Adler's win was an open-seat fluke in the best Democratic year in decades, and he was promptly swept out two years later. The GOP bench here is strong; the Dem bench isn't -- that's why Democrats pressured Adler's wife to run. Just the way Burlington County is: competitive in statewide elections, but solidly Republican locally.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Safe R through 2022.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Safe R through 2022.

No way.  In a bad GOP midterm election, Runyan could easily be swept away.

By whom, exactly? Name the credible Democratic challenger who exists in NJ-03 who will challenge Runyan. And why will that person choose to wait until, say, 2016 to run when the easiest road is to challenge in 2012? Why do you think the best Democrats could do here was the widow Adler (who failed to make this even competitive)?