NC-08: Obama tops McCain by 4 in district Bush won twice with 54% (user search)
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  NC-08: Obama tops McCain by 4 in district Bush won twice with 54% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-08: Obama tops McCain by 4 in district Bush won twice with 54%  (Read 2303 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


« on: July 08, 2008, 03:36:01 PM »

Winning this district does not equal a statewide victory.  When Democrats win statewide they have won the district by double digits. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2008, 04:01:41 PM »

If this poll were accurate, it would be very good for Obama.  According to the NCCivitas (warning: Huge PDF file) data Bush had a 11.1% margin in the district in 2004 which is close enough to his 12.4% margin statewide that a uniform swing of the magnitude given in the poll would send the state to Obama. 

Too bad then that it's trash. 

IT went for Bush by a nine point margin, not 11. 
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