Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,548
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« on: June 06, 2008, 12:40:54 AM » |
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« edited: June 06, 2008, 12:48:57 AM by Mr.Phips »
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Yes, I agree with you here about Bayh helping Long-Thompson. However, Republicans would really only be able to signifacntly hurt either Ellsworth in IN-08 or Hill in IN-09. They could take away Bloomington and give him some very Republican Ohio border counties, but where will they put Bloomington, IN-08? That would just make Ellsworth much safer. It would take some serious gerrymandering to seriously undermine Donnelly in IN-02. I guess they could give him all of Elkhart, but that would likely make IN-03 more competitive for a Democrat and Tim Roemer won easily in the 1990's when IN-02 included all of Elkhart.
If Long-Thompson does win and Democrats hold the state House, Ellsworth could be slightly strengthened by giving him the college town of Lafayette in exchange for some of his very Republican counties that border IN-04. Hell, if Democrats got really ambitious they could weaken Pence in IN-06 by giving him Fort Wayne and Marion in exchange for some of his heavily Republican territory at the Southern end of the district.
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