NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections

[Mr.Phips]

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http://www.politicsnj.com/poll-whelan-leads-mccullough-asselta-race-dead-heat-13701

Interesting results.  With the GOP set to gain a seat in Assy 01 and Assy 02 (combined with the supposed easy pickup in Assy 08), it is getting all but impossible for Democrats to hold their 50–30 Assembly advantage.  I'm revising my prediction to a GOP gain of 3 in the Assembly.

And if Van Drew really is ahead of Asselta by a mere 3, Democrats may not be guaranteed a net pick-up in the Senate.  Still, I think we're looking at 23D–17R.

There must be an Assembly seat or two that Democrats might pick up. 

[Mr.Phips]

Despite the loss of my friends Nick Asselta and Sonny McCullough, this is a very good night for Republicans in New Jersey. We picked up Assembly seats for the first time in 16 years and voters rejected two bond referendums which, although I support in principle, are a huge financial hole at a difficult time in this state.

The next two fiscal years in New Jersey are not expected to go well at all. I expect that in 2009, Nick Asselta will return to the Assembly as part of our new majority.

You actually think Republicans can gain an Assembly majority in New Jersey anytime soon?  If they couldn't do it in this climate, I don't think they ever will.