Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 172054 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548
« on: September 11, 2019, 06:17:11 AM »
People seem to overlook the fact that this is an almost impossible district for a Democrat to win.  Union county is very inelastic and makes up like 36% of the district.  It is nearly impossible to offset the Republican margin there in the other parts of the district, none of which are that heavily Democratic.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2019, 07:09:24 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 11, 2019, 06:58:01 AM
After looking at the 2016 map, I'm kinda shocked that the Dem doesn't do even better than Mecklenberg County - Hillary won it by 30% in 2016, so kinda surprised McCready only won by 9% and 12% in 2016 and 2018. The fact that it's trending BLUER on the local level means Trump is probably in for a world of hurt in that county in 2020.

This district includes only the more Republican parts of Mecklenberg county.  The most Democratic parts are in N.C.-12.
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