State legislatures 2018 (user search)
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  State legislatures 2018 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State legislatures 2018  (Read 495 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,548


« on: February 22, 2018, 07:22:33 AM »
« edited: February 22, 2018, 07:24:15 AM by Mr.Phips »

Which do you think are likely to flip?

Ballotmedia have a model to describe which legislatures are "battlegrounds", which I feel in an environment like this is rather pessimistic for Dems, with only R-held six chambers seen up for grabs (both in NH, the ME, CO and NY Senates and the MN House) and 10 D-held chambers labelled (the WA House? The DE Senate? The NM House?

https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_battleground_chambers,_2018

They have also identified seven potentially flippable chambers, of which five of them are currently R held.

I'm surprised that the Iowa House isn't mentioned.  Due to the non-partisan redistricting, most districts are competitive and Democrats were swept out of a majority in 2010 that was larger than the one Republicans currently have.

I could also see the Michigan House and potentially an Arizona chamber flipping.
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