Is Minnesota trending Republican?

[minionofmidas]

Seems like it. Of course, the 1984 result is an outlyer.
For a while, it also used to do so at the state leg level... not anymore though.

1980: 4
1976: 9
1972: 2
1968: 3
1964: 16 (tied with Oregon)
1960: 18 (17 if you discount Alabama)
1956: 9
1952: 21

Well, it's not been more Republican than right now for more than 50 years.

[minionofmidas]

The lukewarm swings were mostly in areas that was one of the few parts of the country where McCain was spending more.

It probably influenced things a little, yes.

And then you also have instances like Amy Klobuchar winning the election with the biggest margin in any senate race since WWII.

Irrelevant (for the question at hand, that is. Though telling of the state).

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Irrelevant (for the question at hand, that is. Though telling of the state).

Also, you have to look at how other states have really trended Democrat over the past 20 years.  The Northeast and California, which were traditionally Republican, have made a full swing to teh Democrats... while Minnesota had already made this swing back in the 30s and 40s.

I have no doubt Minnesota will continue to be a reliable state for the Democrats for a long time.  It's just that other regions of the country have "caught up".

That's all trends and state-by-state comparisons are about, though.