Constitutional Referendum, Bolivia (user search)
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Author Topic: Constitutional Referendum, Bolivia  (Read 4279 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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Posts: 58,206
India


« on: January 25, 2009, 11:57:40 AM »

That; and "omg I don't control EVERYTHING anymore! I'm being oppressed!"

Eastern, o/c, not western. Just pointing it out before anybody else does. Smiley
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2009, 05:46:02 PM »

http://www.dailyadvance.com/news/world/exit-polls-bolivians-approve-new-constitution-393817.html
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2009, 08:04:08 AM »

8.9 million, actually (in 2007, so probably just over 9 now)... but that still leaves about a million unregistered persons of voting age.
I don't know what voter registration laws in Bolivia, or South America generally, are like. In the US, this figure wouldn't be all that surprising. In Europe, it would be unthinkable.

Anyways... counting process (I suppose they stopped updating - or counting - for the night) is so uneven it's not funny.



Potosí 60% aye, 23% of towns, 30% of votes in
Oruro 60% aye, 33% of towns, 35% of votes in
La Paz 73% aye, 5% of towns, 5% of votes in
Cochabamba 85% aye, 0% of towns, 0% of votes in (namely one tiny town)
Tarija 32% aye, 41% of towns, 48% of votes in
Chuquisaca 27% aye, 48% of towns, 52% of votes in
Beni 29% aye, 32% of towns, 34% of votes in
Pando 39% aye, 48% of towns, 66% of votes in
Santa Cruz 29% aye, 1% of towns, 0% of votes in

La Paz and Cochabamba hold slightly over half the registered voters together.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2009, 10:09:18 AM »

Yeah, my bad. I didn't read closely enough. Oh, and "towns" up there should be "precincts".

Incidentally, it seems registration lags further behind population in the east. La Paz has 2.76 million inhabitants and 1.26 million registered voters; Sant Cruz, 2.63 million inhabitants and 870k registered voters.
Of course the eastern provinces do have lots of urban migrants from the mountains - are they being kept from registering to vote or what? (I'm just putting that one out there without evidence, obviously. It's just the first theory that came to mind.)

Count is at 18% by now, and aye is up to 49%.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2009, 01:19:53 PM »

35% counted, 53% aye. The link I posted has changed its content and is now a fullblown article, complete with estimate based on current results of about 57% aye when all is said and done.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2009, 10:04:57 AM »

La Paz 76% aye, only slightly behind national on counting
Cochabamba 65% aye, almost all in
Oruro 72% aye, 90+ in
Potosě 72% aye, still less than half in (so added areas must have been ~85% aye)

Chuquisaca 45% aye, slightly ahead of national
Tarija 43% aye, count complete
Sta Cruz 29% aye, a little over half in
Beni 29% aye, a little under half in
Pando 41% aye, count complete
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2009, 07:38:28 AM »

Aye stands at 62%, though from what's left (not all that much) it's more likely to go slightly back down than further up from here. Ended up narrowly passing in Chuqisaca.
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