I am calling Bullsh*t on the DailyKos poll.... (user search)
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  I am calling Bullsh*t on the DailyKos poll.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: I am calling Bullsh*t on the DailyKos poll....  (Read 1202 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,206
India


« on: September 14, 2008, 02:32:53 PM »

The figures given in the thread have them tied in yesterday's 3-day, not McCain up one.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2008, 02:51:12 PM »

Well... check the thread, too.

I would suppose the numbers currently posted for previous days are wrong. Somebody misentering stuff in a spreadsheet.
At the very least, we'll have to consider it a possibility.
Maybe they actually had McCain up 48-45 in the older sample and just mistyped it.
Even then, the last three days' figures don't add up to that kind of lead. Several things fouled up here, I suppose.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2008, 03:15:02 PM »

The figures that graph gives fo the 3-day sample aren't the ones reported in the thread - not for today, not for yesterday, not for the day before. They are , however, the same as the ones given in the graph for the 1-day sample. Shouldn't be hard to notice that. Smiley
You made a mistake. In the 3 day average listed for 9/10 (does that mean 9/8-9/10), Obama leads McCain 48-45.

that is exactly what Ihave posted..
Actually, no:


As to the bit you added, noted. Does indeed not add up (and he is reported at 45 in the thread, too.)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2008, 03:51:58 PM »

Are you messing with our heads? Did you just correct the error in your own graph without admitting to it? (The last line there used to read 48-45-45-48-364. Now it reads 48-45-48-45-364, as it should. Just in case anyone reads this later.)

Yeah, the figures reported in the thread are 47-45 currently, 47-47 yesterday, I forget whether it's 46-47 or 47-46 the day before that (I think the latter.)

As I said, something clearly is very wrong here.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2008, 04:04:51 PM »

No.. No.. I am not playing with your head (actually I am - I did fix it) but the 4 day old 3 day average is actually ireleevant to the discussion.
Indeed so.
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I'm actually taking your word for it.
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Correct.
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Incorrect.

The 3 day sample moved 2 points overnight. It was 47-45 on the 10th, 47-46 on the 11th, 47-47 on the 12th, and is again 47-45 on the the 13th.

Which, incidentally, doesn't really square all that well with the daily figures either.


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