Dems in 2008: 12 Pickup Opportunities in Senate?

[minionofmidas]

Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico - I don't expect to be particularly close.

Colorado, Alaska, Minnesota - Wait and see... Tossups. (As is Louisiana.)

Oregon, Maine, Mississippi, North Carolina - Certainly can't rule em out, but don't see it.

Texas - Much as I'd love Cornyn to lose... Forget it. Noriega'll be closer than a weak candidate should normally be (both due to general climate and to Cornyn), but won't win it.

Nebraska - Probably not competitive.

[minionofmidas]

While a whole heck of a lot of these may wind up being "competitive," there is no conceivable scenario where Democrats can seriously invest in all 12 of these races.

Agreed.

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Agreed.

But in all honesty, people who say "Musgrove doesn't have any chance of making this close" are setting themselves up in rather more ridiculous fashion than people who are saying "he'll actually win".