MO-- I still think Bond wins his senate seat here and GOP will pick up Gov mansion with Blunt, which will help Bush.
Still favors GOP.
Oh Bond is in, no doubts. Blunt, probably also, but I'm most sure about Bond. BTW who are they running against him?
I've taken a look at a few prediction sites and Bond is one of those cases where they are sure but not quite sure (like Barbara Boxer on the other side of the aisle, and I think for similar reasons).
Well, I think they're just playing it safe. I'm perfectly willing to predict a Boxer victory in CA. But I guess I see the point that neither is say a Bennet, Shumer, Crapo, or Dodd - re-eletion is not certain, just highly likely.
Yeah, the point is: They win. But they win with lesser margins than other people of the same party in the same year.
I read at Sabato that Bond has won (I think) 4 statewide races in MO in his career so far and lost one. 2:1 for Governor, 2:0 for the Senate. (Or maybe there's one victory more, I'm not sure right now) Yet he never polled more than 53%. Boxer too had a clearly smaller margin than Feinstein in 92, a smaller one than Davis in 98.
