Conservative Dems in the Senate (user search)
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  Conservative Dems in the Senate (search mode)
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Author Topic: Conservative Dems in the Senate  (Read 7044 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: January 28, 2004, 08:40:15 AM »

Zell is the one:
A mathematician did a correlation analysis of voting records over 498 roll call votes from 1998 to 2000.  This ranked the 100 Senators.  On his scale the most liberal Democrat has the lowest score, Feingold  WI (1), and the most conservative Senator Kyl AZ (102).  Zell Miller was the least liberal Democrat, interestingly only one Repubican was more liberal then him (Chafee of RI). I don't have a web link but here is the journal reference:
"Non-Parametric Unfolding of Binary Choice Data." Political Analysis, 8:211-237, 2000.


I tried the same once, for the 2000-2 period. I lost interest somewhere in the middle, but up to the point I did that, there were quite a number of Republicans more Democratic (not the same as more liberal, I know) than Miller.
Specter, McCain, Susan Collins, at least two or three more. (I remember being surprised at how unconservative Thad Cochran of MS was. I don't think he was much more Rep. than Miller, may have been less)
Effectively, Miller
is a Republican and Chafee is a Democrat. They both vote with the other party more than 50% of the time. I think they are alone in this regard though.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2004, 07:34:53 AM »

Crystal Ball says 0 to 4: Highly likely gains in North and South Carolina and Georgia, a highly likely loss in Illinois, toss up possible gains in Louisiana and Florida, tossup possible losses in Alaska and Oklahoma.
I totally agree that another split senate is not likely (not impossible either though). When I wrote "should this happen...", I was not trying to claim it was probable.
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