As I've been saying all along, Oklahoma has more Democrats than Republicans. With that said, Oklahoma is generally conservative biased as opposed to party biased. So, a moderate or especially a conservative Democrat could flip Oklahoma's 7 electoral votes to their side or at least suddenly put us in play.
Not many people know this, but early in the Bush v Kerry race in 2004, Oklahoma was projected as a lean Kerry before going completely for Bush. This according to electoral-vote.com. Those were, of course, extremely early in the 2004 campaign, but it was there. Did I ever believe we would go for Kerry, of course not, but it was interesting to see nonetheless.
Would a more moderate Democrat like Mark Warner have a chance in OK, or can he get at least 40% or more ? What do you say ?
A moderate Democrat such as Mark Warner, Evan Bayh, even Bill Richardson would definitely have a chance to get at least 45% and might throw us in the swing state and possibly lean Dem. It would all depend on who the Republicans choose, too. It would take a major turn of events for Oklahoma to go deep, deep blue or even go blue on a consistent basis, but a Democrat could still win here, especially one like Warner, Bayh, Richardson, perhaps Bill Nelson if he were ever to run, or Ben Nelson from Nebraska, Joe Lieberman, Kent Conrad of Montana, and a big chance if her own governor, Brad Henry were to run. The list in non-inclusive.
I do think you're being a tad too optimistic. That's not to say the Democrats don't have a million miles of improvement room - they do - but in a nationally close election in the near future, unless the Republican candidate is Jim Leach or Lincoln Chafee or Satan - I don't think anyone listed would actually win.
They would win scores of rural counties though, but then so did Mike Dukakis...
