1912: No Roosevelt

[minionofmidas]

I would vote for Debs, who might just about conceivably steal a state or two. Taft would win, but not by much.

[minionofmidas]

Rob- Take a look at 1924. LaFollette carried only his home state and was the Progressive nominee as well as endorsed by the Socialists. I still don't see Debs carrying any states in 1912. His appeal was not agrarian but more industrial so Montana and Nevada just don't fit.

The difference is that that was in 1924, not 1912, a time of forebodings of major crisis and leftwing electoral successes all over the world.