See, for me it's the other way round. I never had any of the sympathy for Martin that I always had for Chrétien.
Seat changes and electionprediction correctness. No time to do Onto, maybe someone can add that.
Nfld
Lib 4 (-1)
Con 3 (+1)
Avalon only change; Avalon only ep error
Nova
Lib 6
Con 3
Dip 2
No change; no error; Dippers outpolled Tories across the province.
PEI
Lib all 4
No change; no error
NB
Lib 6 (-1)
Con 3 (+1)
Dip 1 (0)
Net result as predicted; but 2 riding errors. electionprediction had Saint John switching, instead Tobique-Mactaquac did.
Québec
BQ 51 (-3)
Lib 13 (-8)
Con 10 (+10)
i 1 (+1)
Cons outpolled Grits across the province. Seat changes -
Liberals to Bloc - Ahuntsic, Jeanne-Le Ber*, Papineau, Brôme-Missiquoui, Brossard-La Prairie*, Gatineau
Liberals to Tories - Pontiac, Beauce
Bloc to i - Portneuf
Bloc to Tories - Beauport*, Charlesbourg*, Louis Hébert*, Louis St Laurent, Lévis-Bellechasse*, Lotbinière*, Mégantic-L'Erable*, Jonquière-Alma*
* represent electionprediction errors. All errors were on the side of caution, ie prediction was for no change.
Manitoba
Con 8 (+1)
Lib 3 (0)
NDP 3 (-1)
Churchill went from Dip to Lib, Winnipeg S from Lib to Con. electionprediction predicted no changes.
Saskatchewan
Con 12 (-1)
Lib 2 (+1)
Dip 0 (0)
We still outpolled the Liberals, although I think our vote share went down. electionprediction failed to spot Liberals gaining Churchill River, and falsely predicted Regina-Qu'Appelle to go Dipper.
Alberta
Con 28 (+2)
Lib 0 (-2) Yeah I know, -1, and i -1. Anyways, electionprediction was right.
Territories
Lib 2 (-1)
Dippers 1 (+1)
Con 0
Dippers took Western Arctic. No changes were predicted.
BC
I'll do this in the following format-
incumbent party - prediction - winner
Con Con Con 17: Delta - Richmond E, Fleetwood - Port Kells, Port Moody etc, S Surrey etc, Abbotsford, Chilliwack - Fraser Canyon, Langley, Pitt Meadows etc, Kamloop etc, Kelowna, Kootenay - Colville, Okanagan - Coquille, Okanagan - Shuswap, Prince George - Peace River, Cariboo - Prince George, Nanaimo - Alberni, Saanich - Gulf Islands
Con Con Lib 1: W Vancouver - Sunshine Coast
Con Dip Dip 3: New Westminster - Coquitlam, S Interior, Island N
Con Dip Lib 1: Newton - North Delta
Dip Dip Dip 4: Vancouver E, Burnaby - Douglas, Skeena, Nanaimo - Cowichan
Dip Lib Dip 1: Burnaby - New Westminster
i Dip Dip 1: Surrey N
Lib Con Lib 1: N Vancouver
Lib Dip Dip 1: Victoria
Lib Dip Lib 1: Esquimalt - Juan de Fuca
Lib Lib Lib 5: Vancouver C, Kingsway, Quadra, Vancouver S, Richmond
So that the result is
Con 17 (-5)
Dip 10 (+5)
Lib 9 (+1)
i 0 (-1)
the prediction had been
Con 19 (-3)
Dip 11 (+6)
Lib 6 (-2)
i 0 (-1)
and the number of prediction errors is 4.