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Author Topic: Frankfurt results  (Read 3707 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: September 20, 2005, 05:38:10 AM »

City result - turnout 75.8%
SPD 30.4%
CDU 29.3%
Greens 16.6%
FDP 13.4% (!)
Left 6.7%
other 3.7%, of which NPD 1.1%, placing sixth.

SPD and CDU both worse than in 98 and 02 in every single one of 42 quarters. (For election stats purposes, Bonames and Frankfurter Berg; Preungesheim and Berkersheim; and Gutleutviertel and Bahnhofsviertel are considered to be one each. Flughafen is uninhabited anyways.)
FDP and Left/PDS both better than in 98 and 02 in every single one of 42 quarters.
Greens are fascinating in this respect though. Their overall result is in between.
In the inner city but posh or at least not poor areas of Bockenheim, Westend-Süd, Westend-Nord and Nordend-West, and (grr) in the inner city poor area of the Innenstadt where I myself live, they polled worse than in 1998. All of these are more or less strongholds, too. In the Westend (and I hate the Westend anyways Smiley ) the reverses are actually pretty dramatic.
In Schwanheim, Höchst, Sindlingen, and Bonames/Frankfurter Berg, meanwhile they performed even better than in 2002. In Seckbach and Harheim, they mirrored their 2002 result. These are all outer areas. Schwanheim, Sindlingen, and Bonames/Frankfurter Berg are working-class outer areas - places Al might like. Smiley Seckbach and Harheim are more posh. Höchst is a special case, a now-declining second urban core city really. Höchst is also the only one of these where the Greens are not polling well below their city average.

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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2005, 05:48:55 AM »

Of the 42 areas, 19 (representing 48% of the electorate) have had the SPD topping the poll in each of the last three elections. They form a Western and an Eastern cluster:
Bahnhofs/Gutleutviertel, Gallusviertel, Bockenheim, Griesheim, Nied, Höchst, Rödelheim, Hausen, Praunheim, Ginnheim, Heddernheim, Niederursel to the West; and Nordend Ost, Bornheim, Ostend, Riederwald, Fechenheim, Eckenheim, and Bonames/Frankfurter Berg to the East.
14 (representing just 28% of the electorate) have had the CDU topping the poll throughout, situated on the fringes and along that central axis between the SPD areas: Altstadt, Westend Süd, Westend Nord, Dornbusch, Eschersheim; Kalbach/Riedberg, Nieder-Eschbach, Nieder-Erlenbach, Harheim; Seckbach, Bergen-Enkheim; Sachsenhausen Süd; Sossenheim, Unterliederbach
9 (representing 24% of the electorate) have had changes of heart.
Zeilsheim voted SPD in 98, but CDU in 2002 and 2005.
Oberrad, Niederrad and Schwanheim also voted SPD in 98 and CDU in 02, but Oberrad and Niederrad returned to the SPD camp now, while Schwanheim has the two exactly tied. (And the Greens exactly one vote above the FDP! Smiley )
Nordend West, Sachsenhausen Nord, and rather incongruously, Sindlingen voted SPD in 98 and 02, but had the CDU ahead in 05.
Innenstadt had the CDU ahead in 98, the SPD in 02, but now the CDU again. Sad
Preungesheim/Berkersheim provided a real shocker for me though. SPD ahead out there for the third time as far as my stats go, which is to 1978, in any election. The other two are the 1980 Bundestag and 1989 European elections. They've been building a lot out there recently, which has obviously affected the result.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2005, 06:12:19 AM »

Top 5 and Drop 5 results, by party:
SPD
Riederwald 42.6%
Fechenheim 37.3%
Gallusviertel 37.1%
Hausen 36.3%
Griesheim 36.3%
...
Westend Nord 26.0%
Nordend West 25.5
Sachsenhausen Süd 24.9%
Nieder-Erlenbach 24.2%
Westend Süd 19.9%

CDU
Nieder-Erlenbach 41.2%
Harheim 38.9%
Kalbach/Riedberg 36.4%
Zeilsheim 36.3%
Sossenheim 35.8%
...
Bockenheim 23.3%
Gallusviertel 21.7%
Nordend Ost 20.7%
Gutleut/Bahnhofsviertel 19.9%
Riederwald 19.4%

Greens
Nordend Ost 28.2%
Nordend West 23.9%
Bockenheim 22.6%
Gutleut/Bahnhofsviertel 21.9%
Bornheim 20.8%
...
Griesheim 11.1%
Nied 10.6%
Sossenheim 9.7%
Sindlingen 9.0%
Zeilsheim 7.4% (these are all in the West, defined traditionally as beginning at Griesheim and Sossenheim)

FDP
Westend Süd 24.2% Yeah, that's right. They polled second. They also won two precincts...last that happened was probably in the 50s.
Sachsenhausen Süd 19.2%
Westend Nord 18.6%
Sachsenhausen Nord 16.9%
Nieder-Erlenbach 16.6%
...
Fechenheim 9.9%
Zeilsheim 9.8%
Gallusviertel 9.2%
Sindlingen 8.4%
Riederwald 7.0%

Left
Riederwald 10.6%
Gallusviertel 10.6%
Gutleut/Bahnhofsviertel 9.7%
Bockenheim 8.5%
Nordend Ost 8.4%
...
Sachsenhausen Süd 4.7%
Westend Süd 4.2%
Kalbach/Riedberg 4.1%
Harheim 3.8%
Nieder-Erlenbach 3.7%

Turnout (turnout, btw, was below 98 levels everywhere, below 02 levels everywhere except Hausen and Nordend Ost)
Nieder-Erlenbach 84.0%
Harheim 83.3%
Westend Süd 82.5%
Bergen-Enkheim 82.4%
Kalbach/Riedberg 82.2%
...
Höchst 67.4%
Gutleut/Bahnhofsviertel 67.0%
Innenstadt 65.9%
Griesheim 65.8%
Gallusviertel 65.4%
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2005, 04:27:51 AM »

And your city's? Because I can look up these anywhere. Grin
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2005, 04:48:24 AM »

Green's strongest precinct in Vlotho. Grin

Btw. I have to ask. "Grundschule Exter" - is Exter where the Externsteine are?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2005, 06:27:49 AM »

Ah, yes. My precinct's result (without postal votes):
SPD 32.4
CDU 23.4
Greens 16.5
Left 11.7
FDP 11.5
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2005, 07:31:09 AM »
« Edited: September 21, 2005, 07:36:17 AM by Pessimism of the Mind, Optimism of the Will »

Precinct where I grew up (all w/o postal votes)
SPD 29.3 Greens 27.4 CDU 21.7 FDP 11.8 Left 7.5
Precinct where my mom lives
Greens 29.8 SPD 28.3 CDU 20.2 Left 9.9 FDP 9.5
Precinct where my father, who lives in Berlin really, is registered to vote
SPD 30.0 CDU 27.7 Greens 18.6 FDP 13.1 Left 6.7
Precinct where my father actually lives
SPD 35.5 CDU 28.4 Greens 15.5 FDP 11.3 Left 4.7 (as you can see, he lives in West Berlin Smiley )
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2005, 07:48:14 AM »

Best Left.PDS result: Silberhöhe (35.3%)
Worst CDU result: Silberhöhe (16.8%)

Worst SPD result: Tornau (24.5%)
Worst Green result: Tornau (2.7%)
Best NPD result: Tornau (3.4%)
Ah yes, that would figure. Smiley

FDP's strongest result in "industrial estate north" though - what's wrong here? What sort of area is that?

And of course, map please.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2005, 01:13:07 PM »

Mighty cool map. Thanks.
Yeah, with that few voters results become slightly random-ish.
Where`s the uni? Paulusviertel?
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