According to Nate Silver, PPP not even close to being the best pollster of 2012 (user search)
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  According to Nate Silver, PPP not even close to being the best pollster of 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: According to Nate Silver, PPP not even close to being the best pollster of 2012  (Read 5075 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: November 12, 2012, 04:20:57 AM »

I've always had a problem with using only final polls. You need to evaluate all their polling - you'll just have to compare with other polls with similar timestamps to correct for actual changes in the race.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2012, 08:10:39 AM »

There should be 1 examination using only the final polls from each pollster and those should not be older than 1 week before election day.

Another examination should focus how the different pollsters did before that 1 week timespan.
This.
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