All the parties in the Kurdish areas are going to run on an united front. This means the will most likely get 99% of the vote or something like that because there is no other choice. Reminds me of the various Saddam Hussain votes they used to have.
Actually it's more like majority black areas.
Nah. Jai's quite right.
The whole point of having a United List is to prevent democracy in Kurdistan...and to prevent intra-Kurdish bloodshed of course.
The way things are going, Shia turnout is going to be massive, Kurdish turnout (in the areas that were under Kurdish control before the invasion...not talking about Mossul here) is going to be massive and more-or-less coerced (think
West Belfast on a monster scale). Sunni areas turnout is going to be low...probably no voters except for those who both support the US and are extremely courageous...which I don't think makes for a large subsection. As for the mixed Arab-Kurdish areas around Mossul, nobody knows.
United Iraqi Alliance landslide win, Kurds, well I said it already, Allawi more or less destroyed likely, legitimacy of the new government doubtful.
The amount of Shia dissidence would be the most interesting result.