minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,206
|
|
« on: January 14, 2005, 07:46:29 AM » |
|
If you view the New Deal Coalition as comprising Northeastern Urbanites, Southerners and Rural Westerners (as it did in 32 and 36), then 1928 was different - the Western component is missing. But of course, it was starting to get lost by 1940, as soon as farmers weren't starving anymore... Of course Smith's Urban scores (I've always heard it told he carried the nation's 12 largest cities, though some of them by small margins - apparently that's not true; according to your data he did not carry Philly) were influenced by Catholicism and Wetness (and so was his weak showing in the West and the Upper South), but then, the New Deal realignment was partly shaped by these issues; these aren't really conflicting claims.
|