Alaska: Incumbent Republican Lisa Murkowsi lost a close primary to Joe Miller, and after flirting with assuming the Libertarian party line, decided to just conduct a write-in campaign instead. Like Florida, this basically kills the Democrat's chances at winning, as the Independent takes more of the Democratic vote than the Republican vote.
I don't think so... it's just that she would have to take far more of the Republican vote in order to
create a Democrat's chance at winning - which isn't happening.
Is there any evidence of that?