Strongest swings, by county (user search)
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  Strongest swings, by county (search mode)
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Author Topic: Strongest swings, by county  (Read 21010 times)
minionofmidas
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« on: November 08, 2004, 10:29:35 AM »

First instalment: New England
Top 5 Dem swings
Windham, VT 16,9
Lamoille, VT 16,8
Franklin, MA 15,6
Orange, VT 13,2
Hampshire, MA 12,8

Top Dem (or least Rep) swing per state:
Maine - Hancock 10,1
New Hampshire - Sullivan 11,8
Vermont - Windham 16,9
Massachusetts - Franklin 15,6
Rhode Island - Newport -1,4
Connecticut - New London -4,1

Top 5 Rep swings
Kent, RI 12,8
New Haven, CT 11,7
Providence, RI 10,2
Windham, CT 10,2
Litchfield, CT 8,7

Top Rep (or least Dem) swing per state:
Maine - Kennebec 4,2
New Hampshire - Hillsborough, Rockingham 1,0 each
Vermont - Franklin -2,5
Massachusetts - Plymouth 7,0
Rhode Island - Kent 12,8
Connecticut - New Haven 11,7

Two counties in Maine (Kennebec and Somerset) and two in New Hampshire swung Republican.
Five counties in Massachusetts (Dukes, Nantucket, Franklin, Hampshire, Berkshire) swung Democratic.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2004, 11:04:06 AM »

Mid-Atlantic
Top 5 Dem swings
Tompkins, NY 8,9
Columbia, NY 8,1
Centre, PA 5,8
Chester, PA 5,1
Union, PA 3,9

Top Dem (or least Rep) swings by state
New York: Tompkins 8,9
New Jersey: Somerset -1,6
Pennsylvania: Centre 5,8

Top 5 Rep swings
Richmond, NY 21,5
Ocean, NJ 19,9
Rockland, NY 18,3
Kings, NY 15,6
Monmouth, NJ 14,8

Top Rep swings per state:
New York: Richmond 21,5
New Jersey: Ocean 19,9
Pennsylvania: Clinton 11,1

Four counties in New York swung Democratic: Tompkins, Columbia, Ulster and Hamilton
15 Counties in Pennsylvania swung Democratic: Berks, Centre, Chester, Crawford, Dauphin, Delaware, Elk, Forest, Lancaster, Lehigh, Monroe, Montgomery, Snyder, Sullivan, Union. Clearfield County didn't swing at all.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2004, 12:21:32 PM »

"East North Central" (this are Census Bureau regions, btw - I didn't invent that crappy name)
Top 5 Democratic swings
Athens, OH 13,5
Ontonagon, MI 13,5
Monroe, IN 12,3
Ashland, WI 9,6
Price, WI 9,6

Top Democratic swings per state
Ohio: Athens 13,5
Indiana: Monroe 12,3
Illinois: DuPage 4,0
Michigan: Ontonagon 13,5
Wisconsin: Ashland, Price 9,6 each

Top 5 Republican swings
Franklin, IL 17,0
Hardin, IL 16,8
Blackford, IN 16,5
Moultrie, IL 16,2
Adams, IL 15,7
Douglas, IL 15,7

Top Republican swings per state:
Ohio: Shelby 12,4
Indiana: Blackford 16,5
Illinois: Franklin 17,0
Michigan: Lake 10,0
Wisconsin: Fond du Lac 8,5

I didn't count Ohio or Wisconsin as both states split very roughly 50-50 between counties swinging Dem and counties swinging Rep.
The following counties swung Dem in
-Indiana: Hamilton, Marion, Monroe, Ohio
-Illinois: Champaign, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Henderson, Jackson, Kane, Kendall, Lake, Winnebago
-Michigan: Alger, Allegan, Baraga, Berrien, Delta, Emmet, Gogebic, Grand Traverse, Houghton, Huron, Isabella, Kalamazoo, Kent, Menominee, Midland, Montcalm, Oceana, Ontonagon, Ottawa, Washtenaw
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2004, 01:32:23 PM »

I'll guess in North and South Dakota the biggest Dem swing in ND was Steele and in SD was Ziebach.

in Minnesota I'll guess Beltrami was the biggest swing toward Kerry and Anoka the biggest swing toward Bush.
No more time now to complete this, but you're right about the Dakotas, wrong about MN. Far off, even.
Beltrami swung to Kerry by 7,5 - Mahnomen by 17.3
Anoka swung to Bush by 6.1 - Isanti by 8.6 (okay, that one's not that far off, but Anoka's not in the statewide top 5).
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2004, 05:33:04 AM »

"West North Central"
Top 5 Democratic swings
Ziebach 27,1
Bennett 25,5
Corson 20,8
Lyman 20,1
Dewey 19,7 all in South Dakota

Top Dem swings by state
Minnesota - Mahnomen 17.3
Iowa - Jefferson 14.8
Missouri - Schuyler 6.2
North Dakota - Steele 16.3
South Dakota - Ziebach 27.1
Nebraska - Thurston 10.7
Kansas - Douglas 12.3

Top 5 Rep swings
Randolph, MO 21.2
Pawnee, KS 17.0
Mississippi, MO 16.9
Moniteau, MO 16.1
Lewis, MO 15.7

Top Rep swings per state
Minnesota: Isanti 8.6
Iowa: Ida, Winnebago 8.6
Missouri: Randolph 21.2
North Dakota: Ward 5.4
South Dakota: Sully 5.8
Nebraska: Cass 11.9
Kansas: Pawnee 17.0

Too many counties swinging either way in MN and IA. Not really that many counties swinging Rep in the Dakotas - I could have drawn up a list but couldn't be bothered (all the major population centers would have been on it, btw).
Counties swinging Dem in MO: Adair, Chariton, Mercer, Oregon, Perry, Putnam, Reynolds, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Louis county, Saint Louis city, Schuyler, Scotland, Sullivan
Counties swinging Dem in NE: Cuming, Dawes, Dixon, Frontier, Keya Paha, Sheridan, Sioux, Thurston; plus Brown not swinging at all
Counties swinging Dem in KS: Douglas, Riley, Wallace.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2004, 08:01:57 AM »

South Atlantic
Top 5 Dem swings
Charlottesville (city) VA 16.6
Falls Church (city) VA 13.2
Williamsburg SC 12.3
Lexington (city) VA 10.9
Arlington (city) VA 10.4

Top Dem (or least Rep) swings per state
Delaware: New Castle -1.1
Maryland: Montgomery 3.4
District of Columbia: no counties. The whole district swung Dem by 3.9
Virginia: Charlottesville (city) 16.6
West Virginia: Pendleton 4.1
North Carolina: Yancey 9.0
South Carolina: Williamsburg 11.3
Georgia: Clayton 10.3
Florida: Gadsden 6.2

Top 5 Rep swings
Wyoming WV 24.9
Haralson GA 23.7
Union FL 21.6
Polk GA 20.0
Dixie FL 19.7

Top Rep swings per state:
Delaware: Sussex 14.5
Maryland: Worcester 16.1
D.C.: see above
Virginia: Buena Vista (city) 18.1
West Virginia: Wyoming 24.9
North Carolina: Tyrrell 16.9
South Carolina: Marlboro 11.8
Georgia: Haralson 23.7
Florida: Union 21.6

Maryland counties swinging Dem: Charles, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's
West Virginia counties swinging Dem: Calhoun, Pendleton, Roane, Tyler, Wetzel; plus Mason which didn't swing at all
Georgia counties swinging Dem: Bibb, Chatham, Clarke, Clayton, DeKalb, Fulton, Henry, Richmond, Rockdale
Florida counties swinging Dem: Collier, Duval, Gadsden, Hamilton, Hendry, Jefferson, Leon
I didn't do NC and SC lists because there were too many either way. There were too many either way in Virginia as well, but I made a list anyways:
Virginia counties swinging Dem: Albemarle, Alleghany*, Brunswick, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Fairfax, Greensville, Henrico, Highland, Lancaster, Loudoun, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nelson, Northampton, Northumberland, Patrick, Pittsylvania, Prince William, Rappahannock, Rockbridge, Sussex
Virginia cities swinging Dem: Alexandria, Arlington, Charlottesville, Danville, Emporia, Fairfax, Falls Church, Fredericksburg, Harrisonburg, Hopewell, Lexington, Manassas Park, Martinsville, Petersburg, Richmond, Williamsburg
*The city of Clifton Forge lost its independent status and became a part of Alleghany county between 2000 and 2004.
Comparing the Alleghany result 2004 with the Alleghany result 2000 renders a 1.0 Dem swing.
Comparing the Alleghany result 2004 with the combined Alleghany and Clifton Forge result 2000 (certainly the more sensible thing to do) renders a 5.5 Rep swing.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2004, 09:07:21 AM »

"East South Central"
Top 5 Dem swings
Wolfe, KY 16.8
Humphreys, MS 12.3
Elliott, KY 11.0
Nicholas, KY 11.0
Wayne, MS 10.6

Top Dem swings per state
Kentucky: Wolfe 16.8
Tennessee: Shelby 1.1
Alabama: Dallas 0.6
Mississippi: Humphreys 12.3

Top 5 Rep swings
Lake TN 40.5
Smith TN 30.3
Walker AL 28.1
Bedford TN 25.5
DeKalb TN 25.0

Top Rep swings per state:
Kentucky: Harlan 24.6
Tennessee: Lake 40.5
Alabama: Walker 28.1
Mississippi: Lawrence 14.4

Counties swinging Dem in Kentucky: Bath, Bracken, Cumberland, Elliott, Fayette, Fleming, Green, Hancock, Jackson, Lewis, Lyon, Magoffin, Marion, Menifee, Metcalfe, Morgan, Nicholas, Owsley, Robertson, Rowan, Washington, Wolfe; plus Jefferson which didn't swing at all.
Shelby was the only county in Tennessee to swing Dem.
Dallas was the only county in Alabama to swing Dem.
Counties swinging Dem in Mississippi: Adams, Bolivar, Claiborne, Coahoma, Hinds, Holmes, Humphreys, Jasper, Lauderdale, Leflore, Noxubee, Pike, Rankin, Sunflower, Tunica, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Wilkinson
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2004, 10:15:34 AM »

"South West Central"
Top 5 Dem swings
Travis 19.2
Hays 11.1
Blanco 8.7
Williamson 8.7
Brewster 7.8 all TX

Top Dem (or least Rep) swings by state
Arkansas: Newton 4.6
Louisiana: Orleans 1.5
Oklahoma: Oklahoma -2.4
Texas: Travis 19.2

Top 5 Rep swings
Haskell TX 27.1
Terrell TX 26.3
Haskell OK 25.7
Harmon OK 25.3
Reeves TX 23.7

Top Rep swings per state:
Arkansas: Calhoun 13.4
Louisiana: Livingston 16.8
Oklahoma: Haskell 25.7
Texas: Haskell 27.1

Arkansas counties swinging Dem: Carroll, Conway, Madison, Newton, Perry, Pulaski, Saint Francis, Searcy, Washington, Woodruff
Texas counties swinging Dem: Armstrong, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Brewster, Kramer, Collin, Dallas, Denton, Fort Bend, Gillespie, Glasscock, Hansford, Harris, Hays, King, Nacogdoches, Stonewall, Travis, Washington, Williamson
Orleans was the only Louisiana parish to swing Dem.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2004, 10:48:40 AM »

Went from 59-39 Gore to 59-39 Bush.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #9 on: November 09, 2004, 11:02:40 AM »

No. But I must say I find the Kentucky goings-on much weirder, mostly because they affect a much larger area. Lake is at the far Northeastern end of Tennessee, with the next couple of TN counties voting Republican in 2000...guess it just became more like its neighbours...
Speaking of wierd: unless these are incomplete data, turnout fell by quite a bit in a fair number of West Texas counties.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2004, 11:03:54 AM »

I think I'll wait with the Mountains until the Colo. results have been updated. They seem to include a number of counties with incomplete data. (I've done Montana, Idaho and Wyoming, actually.)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2004, 08:40:49 AM »

Speaking of wierd: unless these are incomplete data, turnout fell by quite a bit in a fair number of West Texas counties.
Which area?  They had snow in the Panhandle on election day.
Loving (yeah, smallest county in the nation). Culberson. Brewster IIRC. One or two more that I forgot, presumably more where I just didn't notice. So, more like Big Bend country than Panhandle.

Re: Engineer. Yes, some of those Dem "swings" are pretty much statistical flukes. Happens in all the states. Happens for some Dem counties, too, I'd guess.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2004, 09:30:16 AM »

Mountain
Top 5 Dem swings
San Miguel CO 27.7
Boulder CO 26.3*
Archuleta CO 23.3
San Juan CO 21.6
Teton WY 21.3

The Boulder result is flawed on two counts. a) Broomfield County was created out of parts of three counties including Boulder, and voted well more Republican than Boulder. (It's missing on Dave's county map, btw.) Boulder result 2000 is including parts of Broomfield. b) The number of votes cast is well down, even when taking Broomfield into effect. Alcon found some newer Boulder data elsewhere (I haven't been able to find data at the Secretary of State's website myself) which would show the swing to be some ~6 points less.

Top Dem swings by state
Montana: Missoula 14.8
Idaho: Blaine 16.5
Wyoming: Teton 21.3
Colorado: San Miguel 27.7
New Mexico: Taos 9.8
Arizona: Coconino 5.8
Utah: Grand 11.2
Nevada: Washoe 5.1

Top 5 Rep swings
Tooele UT 17.6
De Baca NM 16.0
Lea NM 15.2
Pinal AZ 14.0
Rich UT 13.7

Top Rep swings per state:
Montana: Big Horn 12.3
Idaho: Lincoln 10.3
Wyoming: Sweetwater 8.7
Colorado: Crowley 11.1
New Mexico: De Baca 16.0
Arizona: Pinal 14.0
Utah: Tooele 17.6
Nevada: Esmeralda 11.9

Montana counties that swung Republican: Big Horn, Blaine, Broadwater, Cascade, Deer Lodge, Fallon, Garfield, Musselshell, Richland, Roosevelt, Rosebud, Stillwater, Yellowstone
Idaho counties that swung Republican (27 of the 44 counties in the state; it looked at first as if this would turn out to be the smaller list...it didn't): Bannock, Bingham, Boise, Bonneville, Butte, Camas, Canyon, Caribou, Cassia, Clark, Elmore, Franklin, Fremont, Gem, Gooding, Jefferson, Jerome, Kootenai, Lincoln, Madison, Minidoka, Owyhee, Payette, Power, Twin Falls, Washington; plus Bear Lake which didn't swing at all. (Look this through on an Idaho map, and you'll laugh: except for Boise's Ada and two more, all the Southern Idaho counties swung Rep. Except for Kootenai, all the Northern and Empty Center counties swung Dem.)
Wyoming counties that swung Rep: Big Horn, Campbell, Carbon, Converse, Laramie, Lincoln, Natrona, Niobrara, Platte, Sweetwater, Uinta.
I didn't do a Colorado list, but, very roughly, anywhere East of the Rockies swung Rep, anywhere in or West of the Rockies swung Dem.
New Mexico counties that swung Dem: Bernalillo, Catron, Grant, Los Alamos, Santa Fe, Socorro, Taos; plus Lincoln which didn't swing at all.
Coconino is the only Arizona county to swing Dem.
Utah counties that swung Dem: Garfield, Grand, Summit, Wayne
Nevada counties that swung Dem: Churchill, Douglas, Elko, Humboldt, Storey, Washoe, and Carson City city; plus Lander which didn't swing at all.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2004, 10:27:05 AM »

Pacific
Note: Everything said here about California should be taken with 2.5 world supplies of salt. Obviously there's vast amounts of votes missing. Hope Dave updates this soon - I couldn't seem to be able to open the CA SOS' web pages, whatever the reason.

Top 5 Dem swings
Mendocino, CA 16.8
Humboldt, CA 16.2
San Juan, WA 15.9
Wallowa, OR 15.6
Okanogan, WA 14.2
Santa Cruz, CA 14.2

Top Dem (or least Rep) swings per state
Washington: San Juan 15.9
Oregon: Wallowa 15.6
California: Mendocino 16.8
Alaska: no counties. District data incomparable due to redistricting. State swung 5.7 Rep.
Hawai'i: Hawai'i -0.1

Top 5 Rep swings:
Kings CA 13.0
Honolulu HI 12.1
San Bernardino CA 11.2
Kauai HI 10.9
Kern CA 10.2

Top Rep swings per state
Washington: Adams 6.9
Oregon: Klamath 5.2
California: Kings 13.0
Alaska: see above
Hawai'i: Honolulu 12.1

Rep swinging Washington counties: Adams, Benton, Clark, Franklin, Grant, Grays Harbor, Lewis, Pend Oreille, Pierce, Snohomish, Spokane, Yakima; plus Cowlitz and Pacific, neither of which swung at all.
Rep swinging Oregon counties: Clackamas, Columbia, Crook, Gilliam, Jefferson, Klamath, Lake, Linn, Malheur, Marions, Morrow, Polk, Tillamook, Umatilla, Yamhill
Rep swinging California counties (yeah, yeah, more than half the state I reckon): Amador, Calaveras, Colusa, El Dorado, Fresno, Imperial, Kern, Kings, Lake, Lassen, Los Angeles, Madera, Merced, Orange, Placer, Riverside, Sacramento, San Benito, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Joaquin, Shasta, Solano, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, Yuba
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #14 on: November 12, 2004, 12:09:36 PM »

Ohio counties swinging Dem :
Allen, AShland, Ashtabula, Athens, Carroll, Coshocton, Cuyahoga, Delaware, Erie, Fairfield, Franklin, Fulton, Geauga, Hamilton, Hocking, Huron, Knox, Lake, Lorain, Lucas, Mahoning, Medina, Monroe, Morgan, Noble, Perry, Portage, Stark, Summit, Vinton, Washington, Wayne, Wood
Wisconsin counties swinging Rep (just under half):
Adams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Crawford, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Grant, Green, Green Lake, Iowa, Jefferson, Huneau, Kewaunee, Langlade, Lincoln, Manitowoc, Marathon, Marquette, Monroe, Oconto, Portage, Racine, Richland, Rock, Saint Croix, Sauk, Shawano, Walworth, Washington, Waukesha, Waupaca, Waushara, Winnebago; plus Sheboygan which didn't swing at all.
Minnesota counties swinging Dem  (43 both plus one that didn't swing at all - Goodhue. California, btw, is also split exactly half-and-half)
Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Blue Earth, Carlton, Chippewa, Clay, Clearwater, Cook, Cottonwood, Douglas, Freeborn, Grant, Hennepin, Houston, Hubbard, Itasca, Jackson, Kittson, Koochiching, Lake, Mahnomen, Mashall, Morrison, Mower, Nicollet, Norman, Olmsted, Otter tail, Pennington, Polk, Pope, Ramsey, Red Lake, Saint Louis, Stearns, Stevens, Swift, Todd, Traverse, Wabasha, Wadena, Winona
Iowa counties swinging Dem: Allamakee, Appanoose, Chickasaw, Clarke, Clayton, Decatur, Fayette, Hamilton, Howard, Iowa, Jackson, Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Linn, Marshall, Monona, Poweshiek, Story, Tama, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winneshiek, Woodbury
North Dakota counties swinging Rep:
Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh, Divide, Golden Valley, LaMoure, Morton, Renville, Sioux, Slope, Stark, Stutsman, Ward, Williams; plus Cass which didn't swing at all
South Dakota counties swinging Rep:
Beadle, Bookings, Brown, Clark, Codington, Davison*,
Deuel, Douglas, Edmunds, Gregory, Hamlin, Hutchison, Jerauld, Jones, Kingsbury, Lake, Lincoln, McCook, Minnehaha, Moody, Shannon, Stanley, Sully ,Turner, Yankton; plus Aurora which didn't swing at all
*or is that Dawson? Tough when you can't read your own handwriting
Colorado counties swinging Rep:
Adams, Baca, Cent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Douglas, Elbert, El Paso, Fremont, Huerfano, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Las Animas, Lincoln, Logan, Mesa, Montrose, Morgan, Otero, Phillips, Prowers, Pueblo, Rio Blanco, Sedgwick, Teller, Washington, Weld, Yuma
NC counties swinging Dem:
Alamance, Buncombe, Craven, Durham, Forsyth, Graha, Guilford, Henderson, Jackson, Macon, Madison, Mecklenburg, Mitchell, Nash, Orange, Pitt, Polk, Stokes, Wake, Watauga, Wislon, Yancey; plus Catawba and Vance which didn't swing at all
SC counties swinging Dem:
Aiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Charleston, Clarendon, Florence, Greenville, Lee, Orangeburg, Richland, Saluda, Sumter, Williamsburg

Now that I have all the states up, somebody make some maps.
Or gimme a link to some easily manipulable maps.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2004, 05:48:19 AM »

Census estimates for Culberson County show a pretty sharp drop in population (10% since 2000) after holding fairly steady for 30 years.  This might be due to some oil and gas going out of production, or maybe a gypsum processing plant or similar.  The only other industry is services for Interstate I-10.  Van Horn is the largest town for about 100 miles either way.
Culberson was in the news over here for a population increase actually...some German artist colony. These guys bought up the ghost town site of Lobo, due south of Van Horn.
I don't think it had been a ghost town for long though. (Plus of course, Germans can't vote in America.)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #16 on: April 24, 2005, 07:14:23 AM »

Does anyone know the top Democratic swings in counties where Nader was irrelevant?
So basically you're looking for the strongest drop in the Rep vote?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2005, 02:57:28 AM »

Northeast
Top 5:
Lamoille, VT 4.6 (that is, Rep percentage declined by 4.6 points)
Orange, VT 3.6
Grafton, NH 3.5
Sullivan, NH 3.3
Windham, VT 3.0

Strongest by state:
Maine: Lincoln 1.3
New Hampshire: Grafton 3.5
Vermont: Lamoille 4.6
Massachusetts: Berkshire, Franklin tied at .9
New York: Tompkins .3
Pennsylvania: Chester 1.3
No counties in Rhode Island, Connecticut or New Jersey swung against the Republicans.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2005, 06:29:54 AM »

Midwest
Strongest by state
Ohio: Franklin 2.7
Indiana: Monroe 2.4
Illinois: DuPage 0.8
Michigan: Ontonagon 5.6
Wisconsin: Price 3.0
Minnesota: Mahnomen 5.3
Iowa: Jasper 1.7
Missouri: Adair, Mercer (tied) 1.5
North Dakota: Steele 5.8
South Dakota: Ziebach 13.2
Nebraska: Keya Paha 1.8
Kansas: Douglas 1.8

Top 5:
Ziebach SD 13.2
Bennett SD 12.7
Lyman SD 10.1
Dewey SD 9.4
Jackson SD 9.0
However, this table is highly misleading. Bush did not lose support in any of these counties.
Some info to prove my point...

Ziebach County - Eastern portion of Cheyenne River Indian Reservation. 72.3% Native American.
Republican vote increased from 384 to 447. Democratic vote increased from 314 to 641. Other vote increased from 23 to 28.
Population aged 18 and over in 2000 - 1515.

Bennett County - located between Pine Ridge Indian Reservation, Rosebud Indian Reservation, and the Nebraska line. Includes much Off-Reservation Trust Land. 52.1% Native American.
Republican vote increased from 712 to 833. Democratic vote increased from 377 to 759. Other vote increased from 27 to 38.
Population aged 18 and over in 2000 - 2249.

Lyman County - Includes Lower Brule Indian Reservation. 33.3% Native American.
Republican vote increased from 875 to 1029. Democratic vote increased from 482 to 872 (or 812. Can't read my own handwriting.) Other vote increased from 29 to 39.
Population aged 18 and over in 2000 - 2666.

Dewey County - Western portion of Cheyenne River Indian Reservation. 74.2% Native American.
Republican vote increased from 761 to 921. Democratic vote increased from 880 to 1606. Other vote decreased from 40 to 37.
Population aged 18 and over in 2000 - 3747.

Jackson County - Southern portion of county is northeastern portion of Pine Ridge Indian Reservation. 47.8% Native American
Republican vote increased from 687 to 726. Democratic vote increased from 319 to 508. Other vote increased from 34 to 37.
Population aged 18 and over in 2000 - 1812.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #19 on: April 25, 2005, 07:54:15 AM »

South
Top 5
Wolfe KY 8.3
Humphreys MS 7.0
Bath KY 5.4
Williamsburg SC 5.4
Elliott KY 5.2

by state
MD: Prince George's 1.0
VA: Falls Church (city) 4.1
WV: Pendleton 1.4
NC: Yancey 4.3
SC: Williamsburg 5.4
GA: Clayton 3.5
FL: Gadsden 2.6
KY: Wolde 8.3
TN: Shelby 0.2
MS: Humphreys 7.0
AR: Newton 0.9
LA: Orleans 0.0 (Rep share of vote declined from 21.744% to 21.738% percent. In rounded figures, it stayed at 21.7%)
TX: Travis 4.9
DE, DC, AL, OK - no county showed decline in Rep vote.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #20 on: April 25, 2005, 08:31:03 AM »

West
Top 5, or 6
Teton WY 7.2
Wallowa OR 7.1
Adams ID 6.1
Ouray CO 5.8
Chouteau MT 5.2
San Miguel CO 5.2

by state
MT Chouteau 5.2
ID Adams 6.1
WY Teton 7.2
CO Ouray 5.8
NM Los Alamos 3.1
UT Garfield 1.8
NV Washoe 0.7
WA Okanogan 4.4
OR Wallowa 7.1
CA Alpine 3.6
Alaska not applicable; Hawaii none except that the nonmilitary overseas vote (which for state law reasons isn't distributed among the counties) is interesting in this respect; Arizona none - Coconino County Republicans increased by 0.0 points (42.957% 2000 to 42.996% 2004)
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minionofmidas
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Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #21 on: January 16, 2006, 06:40:56 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2006, 07:07:25 AM by César Chávez »

Top 5 swings by county, counties over 100,000 valid votes in 2004...
First installment, Northeast Region

To Reps -
Richmond NY 20.6
Ocean NJ 19.6
Rockland NY 17.9
Monmouth NJ 14.7
Kings NY 14.3

To Dems -
Cumberland ME 7.1
Chester PA 5.1
York ME 3.7
Delaware PA 3.1
Lancaster PA 2.8
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #22 on: January 16, 2006, 07:18:42 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2006, 08:16:01 AM by César Chávez »

Midwest

To Rep:
Greene MO 7.4
Sedgwick KS 6.5
Madison IL 6.0
Anoka MN 5.8
Brown WI 5.2

To Dem:
Franklin OH 8.3
Ramsey MN 6.6
Hamilton OH 5.8
Saint Louis MN 5.7
Hennepin MN 5.6
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #23 on: January 16, 2006, 08:34:57 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2006, 09:09:35 AM by César Chávez »

South

Part I, DE-MD-DC-VA

To Rep:
Hidalgo TX 12.6
Pasco FL 10.3
Nueces TX 9.6
Harford MD 9.5
Polk FL 8.8

To Dem:
Travis TX 19.2
Fairfax VA 8.7
Williamson TX 8.7
Durham NC 8.3
Buncombe NC 8.2
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #24 on: January 16, 2006, 10:45:23 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2006, 11:06:03 AM by César Chávez »

West

to Rep:
Weber UT 12.2
Honolulu HI 12.1
Riverside CA 10.3
San Bernardino CA 10.2
Kern CA 9.5

to Dem:
Boulder CO 20.2 (beware, border change)
Santa Cruz CA 13.9
Marin CA 11.8
Denver CO 9.2
Multnomah OR 9.2
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