House Prediction Competition (user search)
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Author Topic: House Prediction Competition  (Read 7617 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: November 02, 2004, 08:55:48 AM »

Arizona 1: Renzi (R)
Colorado 3: Salazar (D) (PICKUP)
Colorado 7: Beauprez (R)
Georgia 3: Marshall (D)
Georgia 12: Barrow (D) (PICKUP)
Illinois 8: Crane (R)
Indiana 8: Hostettler (R)
Indiana 9: Hill (D)
Kansas 3: Moore (D)
Kentucky 3: Northrup (R)
Kentucky 4: Clooney (D)
Louisiana 3: runoff (possible D PICKUP)
Louisiana 7: Mount (D)
Nebraska 1: Fortenberry (R)
New York 1: Bishop (D)
New York 27: Higgins (D) (PICKUP)
Oregon 1: Wu (D)
Pennsylvania 6 : Gerlach (R)
Pennsylvania 13: Schwartz (D)
Pennsylvania 15: Dent (R)
Pennsylvania 17: Holden (D)
South Dakota: Herseth (D)
Texas 1: Sandlin (D)
Texas 2: Lampson (D)
Texas 17: Edwards (D)
Texas 19: Neugebauer (R) ("PICKUP")
Texas 32: Sessions (R) ("PICKUP")
One more R PICKUP due to regerrymandering. (From 17-15 D, 16-16 after Hall, to 17-15 R including Hall even if Dems win all five)
Utah 2: Matheson (D)
Washington 5: McMorris (R)
Washington 8: Ross (D) (PICKUP)

Dem gain of one or two, depending on Lousiana runoff result. (ie, loss of one or no change if compared to 2002 election result - two Dem defectors)
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2004, 06:57:26 AM »

Winner here would appear to be Sam Spade, with two clear errors (on IN-9 and NY-27) plus wrong second placeds (but correct predictions of a runoff, and correct firsts) on both La. races.
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