west va or south carolina? (user search)
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  west va or south carolina? (search mode)
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Question: which would obama win first?
#1
wv
 
#2
sc
 
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Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: west va or south carolina?  (Read 2423 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,206
India


« on: August 02, 2009, 05:56:00 AM »

An argument can be made for either. All those former Democrats in WVa should, on the one hand, make it easier for Dems to "bounce back" there... (unless the generation dieing off has been very much more Democratic than their descendants) but right now I just don't see it happening in 2012. What's going on with approval polls, birther crap, etc is not looking as if Obama will win back the voters he lost compared to Gore and Kerry (and Republicans aren't going to win back many voters they lost, either. Actually, it feels like something of a replay of Clinton's first term. Sans 1994 that is.)
South Carolina, or rather parts of it, has the right kind of trending going on to become another Virginia or North Carolina... though again, 2012 is almost certainly too soon.
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