KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

Has anyone noticed the inconsistency between sources? Some are saying different sources are at 100% with different results, e.g. Fulton being won by Bevin in NYT results but Beshear in CNN results.

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

Atlas mostly predicted that Bevin would win, but NYCMM conceded that Beshear could win by a tiny margin, and I called the state a toss-up. Both of these predictions were ultimately accurate, with the margins being nearly razor thin in this critical red state this year. Our predictions for the Mississippi gubernatorial race also turned out to be on point. Mississippi was won by more than 50%, and the GOP swept every statewide office in Mississippi in the process. The Democrats lost tonight, no doubt, as they've now lost yet another strong incumbent in Dixie, allowing the GOP to free more resources for its Northward offensives.

We predicted that it would be Bevin 51%, Beshear 47%, Libertarian 2%. But also said that there was the possibility that it'd be a <1% win for Beshear.

We predicted that it would be Reeves 53%, Hood 46%, with others making only table scraps off the Democratic table.

We outperformed the Atlas consensus, and I expect that we will be more accurate than the Atlas consensus for the 2020 Presidential Election and in other elections in the future. We are Atlas' ultimate electoral prediction duo.

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

Maybe you were right, but I specifically remember MM predicting a similar margin to mine (around 7/8 points), so saying 'maybe he could win' isn't really worth trophy points. The other points about how the GOP supposedly won the night is laughable. None of these races should've been close in any respect if they supposedly won.

You may be somewhat correct regarding one of us; however, NYCMM predicted about a 3% margin when I spoke to him, so if Beshear merely got two extra points at the expense of Bevin, which isn't that far off.

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

NYCMM was certainly correct about Atlas (himself included) being wrong...

You may be somewhat correct regarding one of us; however, NYCMM predicted about a 3% margin when I spoke to him, so if Beshear merely got two extra points at the expense of Bevin, which isn't that far off.

Ah right! Too bad for him that the rest of us can read what he actually predicted...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Kentucky_gubernatorial_election#Polling_3

I'm going to give Beshear the 46% in the latest Mason Dixon poll, the Lolbertarian 1%, and the rest to Bevin

Kentucky

Bevin: 53%
Beshear: 46%
Libertarian: 1%

This was non-final. I spoke to him on Monday night.

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

We predicted that it would be Bevin 51%, Beshear 47%, Libertarian 2%. But also said that there was the possibility that it'd be a <1% win for Beshear.

"It could be [X], but it could also be [Y].  [X] happened, so the prediction was correct."  

Few pundits were anticipating either a blowout for either Bevin or Beshear, so I don't see what you're bragging about here. 

A very narrow result, with the Libertarian share of the vote precise to the decimal points.