Which Carter states are now unwinnable for the Democrats? (user search)
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  Which Carter states are now unwinnable for the Democrats? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which Carter states are now unwinnable for the Democrats?  (Read 4641 times)
pragmatic liberal
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Posts: 520
« on: July 06, 2009, 12:16:13 AM »
Quote from: Rob on June 28, 2009, 05:49:28 PM
Where are you going to make up that eight-point difference? South Carolina is racially polarized, much like Alabama or Mississippi.

Not as much as you'd think. According to the '08 exit polls, only about 10% of white voters in Alabama and Mississippi voted for Obama. In South Carolina, Obama got 26% of the white vote. It would not be a big stretch for him to win 33% in 2012, and if he's headed for a big win, he *might* be able to inch those numbers past 33%, enough to win the state.
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pragmatic liberal
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Posts: 520
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2009, 06:27:55 PM »
Carter within a few thousand votes of winning Oklahoma.

Without a doubt, THAT's a state that's unwinnable for the Dems.
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