pragmatic liberal
Jr. Member
Posts: 520
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« on: February 01, 2009, 01:55:20 PM » |
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Texas will probably be a competitive or even Dem-leaning state eventually. But a lot can happen.
If Obama has approval ratings in the mid-to-upper-50s in 2012 (a big if) and wins a correspondingly large landslide, I could see Texas flipping, but barely.
It'll be a few cycles though before Texas is actually a competitive state in a competitive election.
Also, keep in mind that part of the issue with Texas is that it's so expensive to compete there. Obama could have made an effort for the state (remember, there were good GE polling numbers for Clinton and Obama around the time of the time of the Texas Primary), but he likely wouldn't have done anything but narrow the gap a few points while still losing the state. And competing there would have drained resources from better opportunities like North Carolina, Virginia, and Indiana.
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