The election is basically over, isnt it?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

It's not over until someone hits 270.  

Trump is not in a good position right now.  And I am not nearly as convinced as some of my fellow TE friends that Trump will be back as soon as he "gets into campaign mode", so to speak.

The margin will most certainly narrow.  And Trump should not be written off.  But if he can't find a way to pull a U-turn and draw the few (but electorally significant) undecideds and indies that he needs,  he's in trouble.  

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

We're six months away from the election.

It's actually less than five months now.

Ban him, kalwejt!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I believe the Trump campaign has some significant dirt on Biden (oppo research) that they have not dumped yet just how Bush had stuff on Kerry in 2004.

(And disclaimer: this isn't me attacking you, SN). 

You're basing this on...what, exactly? (Besides "a gut feeling" and "chances are good that he has something"). 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Mother of Christ. Do you guys have a political death wish?

1, Burisma related scandal
2. Trump realizes the stakes and acts like an adult to persuade Indys
3. Something happens to Biden, forcing his VP pick to be the nominee and is far less popular.
4. Dem voter complacency - while the make America miserable again base comes out in droves

A zillion things can happen between now and then. There is zero chance Biden wins by anywhere near what he’s up by right now. It’s a 270 election. Arizona & Wisconsin decoding it all.

Acting like it’s over now is quite literally the most idiotic thing you could post. Do better.

I was thinking the same thing.
There was another post, from another individual, that also mentioned this.
There isn't a chance in Hell that trump would start "acting like an adult" (yet alone for an entire 5 month span). Zero chance.

He was very disciplined the last 3 weeks of the 2016 campaign. He doesn't "need to start acting like an adult" he just needs to scale back the tweeting/offensive tweets and needs to hammer Biden with negative ads.

I'm not sure Trump is capable of scaling back the tweets at this point.  He seems to consider it the best and fastest way to get his thoughts out to the general public. 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Biden could die or be seriously incapacitated before November.

At this point this an unforeseen event of this magnitude seems about the only thing able to swing the election in Trump's favor

I disagree.  I think that Biden dying would help Biden.  

Yes, Yes, we get it. Everything is good for Trump.

I mean an unforeseen event like Biden dying or a vaccine discovery undoubtably would hurt Biden.

I disagree.  I think Biden dying would help Biden.