Rate TX-28 (user search)
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June 01, 2024, 10:49:54 AM
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  Rate TX-28 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Your rating?
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tilt R
 
#5
Tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Rate TX-28  (Read 478 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« on: May 03, 2024, 05:52:10 PM »

In 2022 it looks like nearly every statewide d carried the seat so I doubt it flips unless Cuellar stays in the ballot
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2024, 02:07:02 AM »

Likely/Safe D --> Lean R due to complications replacing Cuellar on the ballot.

This is where I am. I don't see Cuellar dropping/ being replaced. This is a district Democrats should win and partisanship may carry the day but the district isn't blue enough that Cuellar can survive a significant underperformance 

If the GOP wins it is a two year rental

Is Trump on track to carry the district?

Considering no statewide Republican did in 2022 I doubt it
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