GA: Insider Advantage: Obama 48, McCain 47 (!)

[Lief 🗽]

IA is a horrible pollster, so this should be ignored. However, Georgia is very much in play, and, at the very least, it won't be called immediately.

[Lief 🗽]

The run-off is tough, and both candidates will have factors in their favor. Martin will enjoy Democratic base fresh off a (hopefully) dramatic national victory, as well as Democratic donors and surrogates with high morale. Chambliss, on the other hand, will face the opposite, with a Republican base dispirited following a colossal nationwide defeat. In Chambliss' favor, however, is the fact that black turnout will probably be somewhat lower without Obama on the ticket, and he'll be able to frame a Martin win as a blank check for total liberal control of national government. Of course, if Obama wins Georgia (or almost wins it), that may not work that well (though I suppose that if Obama wins Georgia he probably pushes Martin over 50% at the same time).