CO: Rasmussen: Udall only ahead by 3 (user search)
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  CO: Rasmussen: Udall only ahead by 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO: Rasmussen: Udall only ahead by 3  (Read 6245 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 45,014


« on: July 22, 2008, 05:54:26 PM »

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.
NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,014


« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2008, 09:21:10 PM »

No matter how you look at it, it looks like Dems +4 at the end of the night on November 4th.

At a minimum.

It's pretty close to the max. They might be able to get Oregon but not much else.
NM + NH + VA + CO + AK = 5. The latest poll has Merkley ahead in Oregon, making +6 possible. Then there's MS, which is close.

Tie = Merkley ahead? Alright, Mr. Kansas for Obama!
Merkley 43, Smith 41.

43 > 41.

Hope that wasn't too intense for you, Mr. Connecticut for McCain.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,014


« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2008, 09:25:05 PM »

They're within the margin of error, yes, but he's still technically ahead. I didn't say it was a giant lead or anything, but to say that there's no chance Merkley wins at this point means that you're ignoring the facts.
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