UK Post-Election Analysis

[Lief 🗽]

Ah yes, now begins the "but our secret, never-released numbers with questionable methodology were right, we were actually super accurate!" phase.

It is one thing to publish a poll that ends up being inaccurate. It is totally another to fudge your methodology and your numbers at the last minute so that your numbers match the consensus and you can all sink or swim together. Bunch of cowards and frauds, the entire polling industry.

[Lief 🗽]

Yet another ruinous consequence of Nate Silver's rise to fame. The sooner that man is thrown into the dustbin of history, the better.

[Lief 🗽]

Sure, but I think it's undeniable that he's had a negative influence on the polling industry (mostly in the US yes, but we are living in a globalized and inter-connected world, and, like Big Brother or Masterchef, Nate Silver imitators have popped up in droves from country to country). "Herding" was much less of a problem before he poked his nose into things.

[Lief 🗽]

Sure, but I think it's undeniable that he's had a negative influence on the polling industry (mostly in the US yes, but we are living in a globalized and inter-connected world, and, like Big Brother or Masterchef, Nate Silver imitators have popped up in droves from country to country). "Herding" was much less of a problem before he poked his nose into things.

The pollsters are fixing their numbers because they are afraid of Nate Silver?   Really?  Man, the guy is powerful.

I'm sure the polling firms that Nate Silver has criticized have lost a considerable amount of business as a result. Like it or not, he's by far the most respected and well-known name when it comes to this sort of thing. Why risk that when it's so much easier to nudge your numbers towards realclearpolitics.com's numbers?