Rocky Mountain Poll (Behavior Research Center): Obama up 2 in Arizona

[Lief 🗽]

If there is hope, it must lie in the (Hispanic, Spanish-speaking, cell-phone only) proles.

[Lief 🗽]

In 2008 in Arizona, the white vote (75% of the electorate) was split R-D 60-40. The non-white vote (25% of the electorate) was split D-R 60-40. If you split that 25% 80-20 instead, you get a 50-50 tie, instead of the 55-45 R victory of 2008. Of coure that assumes that Obama does not worse with Arizonan whites and that turnout percentages are the same. But 80% non-white support for Obama makes the state very winnable.