The Official Absentee & Early Voting Reports Thread

[Lief 🗽]

No, it's not. Democrats if they keep up their turnout for another week (don't know how likely that is) will have the same early vote margin as they had in 2008.

[Lief 🗽]

Romney, Karl Rove, Mr and Mr Koch, Wake up and get out of Nevada. Wisconsin and Iowa would be good places to use your funds.

And anger Sheldon Adelson? Never!

[Lief 🗽]

No, that can't be. J.J. told me that black voters weren't very enthusiastic this year.

[Lief 🗽]

Ugh, are whites in Georgia really that racist? Aren't there some enlightened ones living in Atlanta?

[Lief 🗽]

They should, especially after Sunday, with the big focus by black churches on getting their congregations to the polls after service.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, a lot of people switched to vote in the 2008 Democratic primary as well.

[Lief 🗽]

Dems added another 5,000 to their margin in Clark County today. Romney will surely do better in Washoe this time around, but it's looking like Obama won't drop that much from his 2008 margin in Clark at least.

[Lief 🗽]

Fantastic news! Hopefully black turnout is huge today across the country. It's no coincidence that Obama made a photo op out of taking his daughters to church this morning.

[Lief 🗽]

Good thing Jesse Jackson's flying down there to turn them out.

[Lief 🗽]

Turnout was down in Clark today for some reason, but Democrats still increased their lead by 3000 to about 47,000.

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats almost at +60,000 in Iowa. Very nice.

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats almost at +60,000 in Iowa. Very nice.

Ah, in 2008, it was +86,000. 

Do you want a gold star sticker? What's your point?

[Lief 🗽]

Dems now lead by 50k in Clark. Washoe is still a tie basically.

[Lief 🗽]

lol what?

Don't you need an excuse to vote early in Virginia anyway? I don't think we can make any conclusions about turnout or enthusiasm if it's not no-excuse early voting.

[Lief 🗽]

Axelrod on Morning Joe today said they're running 15-18% ahead with Iowa early voters and expect 40-45% of the electorate to vote before election day.

[Lief 🗽]

Ohio Democrats who voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot: 530,813
Change from 2008: -181,275

Ohio Republicans had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot: 448,357
Change from 2008: +75,858

Republican swing from 2008: 257,133
Obama's 2008 margin of victory: 262,224

Come on dude, I explained this a few pages ago. Those numbers are meaningless.

[Lief 🗽]

I wish New York had cool propositions to vote on!

[Lief 🗽]

Dems up to a 55k lead in Clark County after today. With two days of early voting left, they should break 60k.

[Lief 🗽]

Iowa early vote turnout has now surpassed 2008's early vote turnout.

[Lief 🗽]

Iowa early vote turnout has now surpassed 2008's early vote turnout.

What do you think of the change in Dem proportions in the state, then? The polls certainly seem to bode well for Obama, but the swing in finalg gap isn't wondrous. Enough to hold, do you suppose, considering that Obama won by 9 in '08?

Well in 2008 the Republican campaign didn't focus on early voting at all. It makes sense that now that they do, at least to an extent, some of their election day voters are moving to early vote and thus the Democratic margin is shrinking. But if Democrats can get their margin up to 70,000 by the end of early voting in Iowa (5 more days), then I think we're in a good position.

[Lief 🗽]

Iowa early vote turnout has now surpassed 2008's early vote turnout.

What do you think of the change in Dem proportions in the state, then? The polls certainly seem to bode well for Obama, but the swing in finalg gap isn't wondrous. Enough to hold, do you suppose, considering that Obama won by 9 in '08?

Well in 2008 the Republican campaign didn't focus on early voting at all. It makes sense that now that they do, at least to an extent, some of their election day voters are moving to early vote and thus the Democratic margin is shrinking. But if Democrats can get their margin up to 70,000 by the end of early voting in Iowa (5 more days), then I think we're in a good position.

So far, the D numbers are dropping on a daily basis in IA. 

No, the D raw vote margin has been increasing basically every day. It's now at about +62,000.

[Lief 🗽]

Are you not reading my posts or what?

[Lief 🗽]

I mean, if early voting ended today for some reason and we only led by 62k then that wouldn't be great. But there are five more days to go.

[Lief 🗽]

Well Democrats have been steadily building on their support since early voting began. I assume the heaviest early voting is at the end, so the number of daily voters should increase in the final days.

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/democrats-crushing-republicans-sporadic-fla-voters-early-voting#comments

You must be logged in to read this quote.