DC Area/Heart+Mind Strategies: Obama leads in DC and MD suburbs, tied in NoVa (user search)
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  DC Area/Heart+Mind Strategies: Obama leads in DC and MD suburbs, tied in NoVa (search mode)
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Author Topic: DC Area/Heart+Mind Strategies: Obama leads in DC and MD suburbs, tied in NoVa  (Read 2489 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 45,026


« on: August 08, 2012, 02:10:51 PM »

Yeah polls of 200 people are basically useless.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,026


« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2012, 09:52:45 PM »

Or in another words, she doesn't know and just knows what she is told.


What were the NOVA results in 2008?

Excluding the cities it was 56.7-43.3 Obama. Excluding Arlington County as well it was 55.5-45.5. And including all the cities it was 57.6-42.4. So anyway you cut it, this is a bad poll for Obama.

So is Romney losing massive ground in SW VA or something? Otherwise the numbers wouldn't make sense with where we know VA to be at right now (Obama by 3-5).


I think it's safe to just assume this isn't a very good poll and these are probably not very good numbers. Though I wouldn't be surprised if Mitt Romney gets fewer votes out of SW VA than McCain did. Really Romney should be doing better than McCain in NoVA, so the fact that Obama hasn't lost that much of his 2008 margin in the state means he's making up ground somewhere else.
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