French election maps

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Regional elections now.

2004 regional elections

Second Round



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By region now. I guess most of us have seen this awful map a million times.



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Runoffs in regional elections have a 10% and therefore in 2004, a vast majority of them were PS-UMP-FN runoffs. There is a 5% threshold in Corsica for the runoff, so that explains that. Interesting to note that the "left" actually won Corsica if you put PRG, CSD, PCF votes together. Oftentimes the media doesn't pay attention to locals in Corsica because they use a stupid system.

First Round



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Listening to the France2 post-first round broadcast was interesting because it confirmed that the left's tsunami was not expected to be as huge as that.

There should be a FN logo in Nord-Pas de Calais. Will probably fix that soon enough.

1998 regional elections

Overall by party



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The FN won in Haut-Rhin because of the division of the left and right IIRC.

Overall by Ideology



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Corsica held the 1998 elections in 1999 apparently. Once again, they have a weird system.

Leading Party by department



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Prior to 2004, regional elections used a one round-only system with 5% proportional representation by department. Note that where the Greenies, PCF, Radicals, MDC came out on top was because they were the left-wing party (no PS list). Reunion is not PCF but PCR, but I was too lazy to change that.

Overall regional presidencies



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A few of the right-wing majorities were obtained due to FN support.

CPNT seats



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Means in which regions they broke 5% in atleast one department.

LO-LCR-CAP seats



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Means in which regions they broke 5% in atleast one department.

1992 regional elections

Overall regional presidencies



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T'was a year before the 1993 RPR-UDF tsunami.

1986 regional elections

Overall regional presidencies



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Held on the same day as the 1986 legislative elections. Marked by the decline of the PCF and rise of the FN.

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*blows dust off thread*

Updated 1997 with a breakdown of the left category:



Fixed some other errors, mostly in the deep and confusing world of DVD/DVG labels. Nothing major to add.

Fixed 1993, a few errors. DVG in this case means (generally) the MDR, a centre-right party that participated in the Rocard etc. governments and ran as "Presidential majority".



Also a Greenie map for 1993, where they did quite well (but underperformed from polls, one of which had them on 16%!). The total Greenies, split in 4/5 parties/groupings won around 10% but no seats (they weren't allied with the Socialists yet). Usual Greenie voting patterns that are hard to observe in post-1993 Greenie voting map because of strong votes where they were the candidate of the left and so forth. Strong in Alsace (Waechter or whatever his name is was still in the Green Party and a major leader), Rhone-Alpes, parts of Bretagne and Pays-de-la-Loire, and Paris/IdF.

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2002 first round results by constituency



Saint-Josse won two constituencies in the Somme and Bayrou won his constituency. The Chirac favourite son factor in Correze and Cantal obviously. Quite hilarious that Le Pen didn't win the Dreux seat, but won the Nogent seat.

"Low" results for Chirac in the Neuilly, 16eme, Issy area; but mostly due to Le Pen doing quite well and the Madelin, Bayrou, Boutin etc. candidacies.

Might do 1995 and 1988 if there is any interest.


Some very, very old maps that are on my website but not posted here.



The Parti de l'Ordre was a bourgeois, right-wing conservative, monarchist party that originally supported Louis-Napoleon but fell out with him when he started acting authoritarian and wanting a second term (constitutionally impossible IIRC).



'Conservatives' are monarchists, most of the time.

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Why did Le Pen do so well in Aquitaine (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne)?

Le Pen seems to do better in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne than in the other departments of Aquitaine.

It's also stretching it a bit to say he did "so well" in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne, Gironde-5 was very close (Chirac was only a few % behind). Saint-Josse and CPNT do well there too (14.7% in Gironde-5 in 2002). Gironde-11 was also close.

edit: The FN also had a seat(s) in Bordeaux until this year.

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Blast from the past.

2007 maps, basically to get them here to compare with the '95 maps I'm doing (hopefully Hue didn't win any constituencies, since I'm out of colours)

runoff



first round



Le Pen broke 20% in one constituency (Saint-Dizier, Haute-Marne). Buffet broke 9% in one constituency in the Nord. Royal got fourth in most rural Alsatian constituencies (where Bayrou did quite well, oc) and would've finished fourth if Strasbourg and the cities hadn't propped her up a bit. de Villiers prevented Sarkozy from breaking 30% in all but one of the Vendee constituencies. The CPNT voting block in Gironde, the Somme, and Manche collapsed totally from 2002 (a bit below 6% in the two constituencies Saint-Josse had won in 2002).
Royal also had a favourite-daughter effect in her department, she got higher scores than most Socialists usually do there IIRC.

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Where did you get the extra colors?

I stole UDF orange from Huckabee's colour scheme here, and I made the Le Pen crap-colours.

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Finally, the MPF 2007 map.



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I'll comment later.

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These two maps are in the gallery already.

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Fun stuff!

Vote for Renouvin, 1974 royalist candidate

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Fun stuff!

Vote for Renouvin, 1974 royalist candidate

Does that map mean anything?

Bretagne is very weird. But I suppose Renouvin's general leftiness might've turned some royalists off. The Royalists (the AR, which is a rightie eurosceptic party) did "best" (or least awful, a better term) in Bretagne in the 2004 EU election.

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Now for the point of me coming here again.

Maps for the only religious survey data out there, the IFOP 2006 one.



A huge majority of those citing "Catholic" aren't regular church-goers, though.

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To add to the Catholic map, a map by region of those going to church atleast once a month (8.6% average).



And the averages for religions, excluding Corse.

Catholics 64
Protestant 2.1
Muslim 3
Jewish 0.6
No religion 27.6

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I there information on religious attendance by religion? I would assume Muslims have a high attendance rate, but is there a substantial difference between Catholics and the Protestant minority?

IFOP only gave attendance data with Catholics.

Why so many Muslims in Haut-Rhin?

Peugeot auto workers from North Africa.

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Before I forget- any requests?

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I will also have to repost that map on the Catholic v Anti-Clerical divide in the '60's that I made a while back.

Please do.

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Starting again with some more EU election maps (this time from 2004).

First up, MPF.



I can explain any patterns, if needed.

Next: RPF

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The Le Pen belt is quite clear in that last map.

The Catholic map?

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The MPF list leader in the Est region was Jean-Louis Millet, former MPF mayor of Saint-Claude who also has a high favourite son vote. (Fun fact: he was defeated in 2008 by a Communist).

Var and Alpes-Maritimes have a high non-FN national-conservative RPF/MPF type of voters that vote RPF/MPF in EU elections.

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The Le Pen belt is quite clear in that last map.

The Catholic map?

Yup.

In some parts, yes. But other areas of the Catholic map (Bretagne, Pays de la Loire, Pyrenees-Atlantique, Lot, ) equate with some of Le Pen's worst regions. And, in addition, the FN strength in Alsace is not as historical and solid as the FN strength in PACA is, for example. Alsace is still one of the most pro-European areas of France.

Exit polls don't breakdown the presidential vote by religion, of course, but I doubt Le Pen's base electorate is the fervent Catholic electorate. Far from that, in some cases.

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To continue with the EU maps,

RPF



dark gray means 0 votes, light gray means no list.

UMP



An UDF map will be coming next, because in some cases it's vital in understanding the UMP map.

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Correct. Thanks. I'll finish it now.

Edit: Done.

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UDF

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Greenies



1999 Greenies (second-best result after Waechter 1989)



PS



PCF



1999 Hunt, Fish, Nature, Traditions, and a Good Wine

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One thing on the EU maps. Best not take the DOM results very seriously. For a variety of reasons.

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What happened to the Greens in the Parisians suburbs between 1999 and 2004?

Cap21, which got 3.6%.

Just as Waechter's MEI list explains the lower than average Greenie results in the Est constituency.