Australian Election Prediction Contest (user search)
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Author Topic: Australian Election Prediction Contest  (Read 3994 times)
Hash
Hashemite
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Posts: 32,435
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« on: August 20, 2010, 07:16:57 PM »

National 2PP vote

ALP - 51.6%
Coalition - 48.4%

Seats per Party, nationally.

ALP - 77
Coalition - 69 (incl. 6 Nationals, bunch of LNPers)
Indies - 3
Greenies - 1

2PP vote per State and Territory

New South Wales: 51.8-48.2 ALP
Victoria: 55.5-44.5 ALP
Queensland: 53-47 LNP
Western Australia: 55-45 COAL
South Australia: 53-47 ALP
Tasmania: 55.5-44.5 ALP
ACT: 65-35 ALP
Northern Territory: 55.5-44.5 ALP

Predict the winning Party in the following seats:

Tasmania
Bass: ALP
Braddon: ALP

Northern Territory
Solomon: ALP

South Australia
Boothby: Liberal
Sturt: Liberal

Western Australia
Canning: Liberal
Cowan: Liberal
Hasluck: ALP
Stirling: Liberal
Swan: Liberal

Victoria
Corangamite: ALP
Deakin: ALP
LaTrobe: ALP
McEwen: ALP
Melbourne: Greenies

Queensland
Brisbane: ALP
Dawson: LNP
Dickson: LNP
Fisher: LNP
Flynn: LNP
Forde: LNP
Herbert: LNP
Hinkler: LNP
Leichardt: ALP
Longman: LNP
Ryan: LNP
Wright: LNP

New South Wales
Bennelong: Liberal
Cowper: Nationals
Dobell: ALP
Eden-Monaro: ALP
Gilmore: Liberal
Greenway: ALP
Hughes: Liberal
Lindsay: ALP
Macarthur: Liberal
Macquarie: Liberal
Page: ALP
Paterson: Liberal
Riverina: Nationals
Robertson: Liberal

Australian Capital Territory
Second Senator: Liberal

---Bonus Points---

Only count in event of a tie. You don't have to do these

Safest Seat: Batman, ALP, majority over 25%
Closest Seat: Forde, LNP, majority under 0.1%
Highest Swing: Melbourne probably
Random Upset: none

nb: I like hate Tony Abbott too much for this to be correct
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