It's 48% Trump, 45% Clinton 2016 sample! What the heck... Trump +3 and only 13% did not vote or voted for other? This poll looks kinda Trump-friendly...
How come most polls seem to be Trump-friendly? Is it because pollsters are weighting non college whites too much? If so, that would be a disaster for Trump
We'll get some answers after the election. But Trump +3% by itself is not necessarily wrong: Nate Cohn mentioned that respondents "recall" their vote for incumbents more often than for losing challengers. But it's clearly not a DEM-friendly poll for sure. But 13% "other+ did not vote" is just wrong sample. New voters in states, which report them: FL, NC and GA is in the upper 20s. The Sun Belt will have more new voters, but still "other+ did not vote" combined should definitely be above 20%.
