Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally (user search)

kireev
Jr. Member

Posts: 294

Re: Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally

« on: November 01, 2020, 03:01:12 PM »

That's quite a difference compared to the YouGov poll among likely voters yet to cast ballot: Trump +1 only.

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kireev
Jr. Member

Posts: 294

Re: Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 03:10:00 PM »

Quote from: Buzz on November 01, 2020, 03:02:42 PM

Quote from: kireev on November 01, 2020, 03:01:12 PM

That's quite a difference compared to the YouGov poll among likely voters yet to cast ballot: Trump +1 only.

yea not buying trump +1 on ED at all lol

Me too, but their proportions of EV votes and election day votes are clearly different than in the YouGov poll.

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kireev
Jr. Member

Posts: 294

Re: Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 03:13:35 PM »

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 01, 2020, 03:11:46 PM

Quote from: kireev on November 01, 2020, 03:01:12 PM

That's quite a difference compared to the YouGov poll among likely voters yet to cast ballot: Trump +1 only.

Not a good comparison. DFP was in the field Oct. 28-29. "Yet to cast a ballot" would include people planning to vote early in person after that, along with those who had absentee ballots yet to be returned, in addition to those planning to vote on Election Day. YouGov only reported the last group.

You are right: it partially explains the difference, but not the whole 40% difference.

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