I still don't understand why so many people think Flake will hang on while Heller won't. I think Heller is much more likely to win reelection than Flake (but I think they'll both lose in the end).
Barely. Trump only lost Nevada by 2 points, and won Arizona by 3. It's possible Arizona's greater Republican lean could save Flake will tanking Heller, but if a 5-point difference is to be given that much weight, then Tester, Heitkamp, Brown, Donnelly, Manchin, are all surely doomed with zero chance whatsoever, and I still see people saying some of them could, or even will, win.
