The reaction to this on reddit is ecstatic. After Gabbard becomes the nominee in 2020, I expect apologies from everyone who doubted my prediction abilities during the 2010s decade.
Beet, just what probability would you currently give to Gabbard being the 2020 Dem. nominee? As I recall, you gave Palin an 80% chance for the 2012 GOP nomination, and I'm curious as to where Gabbard rates on that scale.
For my part, I'd say that the field is wide open enough that I'm not sure if I'd give any one person more than a ~20% chance.
55%
Tbf Palin didn't even run, if she ran I think she would have been a big hit. I suppose if Gabbard doesn't run that's one thing, but Gabbard is not as idiotic as Palin was, and she is taken several steps to show her ambition. Palin was never competent to be on the national stage to begin with and was plucked into the VP nomineeship by -- from her viewpoint -- luck. Whereas Gabbard is a self-made politician.
