Democratic Wild Western Tuesday results thread (user search)
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  Democratic Wild Western Tuesday results thread (search mode)
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Beet
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« on: March 22, 2016, 01:58:50 PM »

If you vote for Sanders you support Sanders, but okay.
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Beet
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Posts: 29,045


« Reply #1 on: March 22, 2016, 02:11:58 PM »

If "independents" decided elections president Romney's re-election campaign would be heating up.
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Beet
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« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2016, 03:24:25 PM »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/overselling-the-importance-of-independent-voters/2012/11/19/1c04b598-3294-11e2-bfd5-e202b6d7b501_blog.html
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Beet
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Posts: 29,045


« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2016, 07:38:20 AM »

The error in the Dan Jones poll in ID (Sanders +2 vs Sanders +57) is almost as large as the Mason-Dixon poll (Clinton +34 vs Sanders +23) in MN. How are they even getting these 50+ point polling errors?

crap like this SHOULD be the nail in the coffin for these garbage pollsters, but alas they'll still putting out garbage in the future,

To be fair, Dan Jones is the only Utah-based pollster, so they're not going to go out of business anytime soon.

Probably because they're polling it as if it's a primary. In 2008, Hillary got 39% in the Utah primary. She also got 38% in the Idaho primary, while getting 17% in the caucus. Hence in retrospect you could have seen these states as very similar even then. For all the complaints about voting in Arizona, Utah switching to a caucus massively helped Bernie. These caucuses are basically just like giant rallies where you go with your friends. Overwhelming peer pressure.
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