2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Beet]

83% of precincts reporting:

Deal: 273,348
Handel: 268,192

SoS is coming in faster than WSBTV. Handel has gained about 5,000 votes in the last 3% of precincts. Fulton county is still only at 27%, and she's winning it 26,000-10,000 thus far.

The AP says Fulton is 75% in - with the same amount of votes.

That is correct. SoS needs to change that. They're saying that 276 of the 333 precincts have come in though.

SoS is saying Gwinett at 49,680 with 32% in. And there were roughly the same number of McCain votes in Fulton and Gwinett in 2008. So if the SoS Gwinett numbers are right, AP must be wrong on Fulton.

[Beet]

It isn't happening, among other things, because she would lose anyway. I mean, what is her base?  Are the Dems all going to vote for her (and abandon their nominee?), because they will need to - all of them effectively. It is not as if Miller is not a competent candidate. He is

As I said, it isn't happening. I don't view Murkowski as a kamikaze type, nor one totally oblivious to any sense of dignity.


Miller I hope can get used to the heat in DC in the summer.

Dignity, Torie, would be going down fighting.

[Beet]

All of this is very upsetting. Go Coons.

[Beet]

All of this is very upsetting. Go Coons.

You must be the only Democrat in the country who is thinking this.

The difference is I don't see Coons as a shoo-in. This is going to be a tough, drag out, point to point, ad to ad, house to house fight. It's not going to be one that feels particularly good, but it's going to require passion and energy. Assuming that O'Donnell can't "possibly" win the general is the best way to guarantee that, that is precisely what happens.

[Beet]

All of this is very upsetting. Go Coons.

You must be the only Democrat in the country who is thinking this.

Amusingly Beet basically seems to agree with the NRSC.

No, the NRSC sees the race as lost. You see it as "funny." I see it as: Stalingrad if Coons is going to have a chance.

brittain: the voters of this country clear want massive right-wing majorities, and that's exactly why we have to fight this. It's our only shot. If there was any other scenario, there would be no point in losing sleep over it. But this is precisely the one scenario that it is worth losing sleep over.

If Coons doesn't wage a spirited campaign, O'Donnell will win. I'd bet my life savings on it.

[Beet]

If Coons doesn't wage a spirited campaign, O'Donnell will win. I'd bet my life savings on it.

You're really questioning the intelligence of Delaware voters with that statement.

Fine. I'm questioning the intelligence of Delaware voters.

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Like she had no chance in the primary? Like Joe Miller had no chance? Like Scott BRown had no chance? When will people like you wake up? Or do you even care?

[Beet]

BRTD, since you seem to like Intrade so much, she is trading at 25 there. That means chance.

[Beet]

PPP are looking like pimps after this one. It must be said.

That is true. PPP has another in the bag.

[Beet]

PPP are looking like pimps after this one. It must be said.

That is true. PPP has another in the bag.

If you can admit that PPP nailed this one, why can't you admit that O'Donnell is going to be defeated in November? It would take a literal miracle for her to turn those Favorable numbers around.

Get back to me with what the polls look like in mid to late October.

I agree that Coons would win today, but all I'm saying is we can't get complacent about this one. The polls have changed really fast this year - usually in favor of tea party nutters.

Beet's 1st law of campaigns: When the numbers say A and the energy says B, A will move towards B.

All I'm saying is that Coons needs some actual energy behind him and not just 'oh, he's a shoo-in, let's laugh it up' to get the win that admittedly he probably can get.

[Beet]

And anyway Beet it's not like Coons is going to shut down his campaign HQ tomorrow or lose all DSCC funding. On the other hand lack of NRSC support not only cuts down on the advertising budget but infrastructure for the whole GOTV thing.

Right, he's going to be the boring establishment white guy running against the underdog hot chick with the hope and change message. Real invincible - especially if his supporters sit and home and do nothing, assuming that legions of Eisenhower Republicans are going to come out to save the day at the last minute.

[Beet]

PALADINO WON!

I don't understand this result.  The guy is slime.  looks like voters are just overthrowing the establishment and replacing them with random person x

Bingo. This year is not Dem vs. GOP, it's optimism and satisfaction vs. fear and anger, and the latter are in the drivers' seat. That's what's so scary about it. Nothing positive is happening, see? No positive ideas are being endorsed. There's too much pessimism and negative energy - and I know it sounds strange coming from me.

[Beet]

Well it looks like Ehrlich will crush Brian Murphy, 75%-25%, in the GOP Gov primary here. That's good. I'm keeping an open mind about this race. It looks like Ehrlich's regional base is still making a difference for him.

[Beet]

Something else I should've pointed out in response to Beet's freaking out earlier, you don't really think Joe Biden won't be doing some visits home on behalf of Coons right? It's not like his current job doesn't allow him any free time.

I'm not freaking out man. The older republicans here, jmfcst, torie, and sam see things that none of us see, and they are saying we're in deep trouble.

Honestly Brtd, your posts are just bizzare. What's your point about Biden supposed to be? That he will somehow help Coons? Do you even think he's even that popular in Delaware anymore? I mean, ever since he's joined the administration he's mostly been known for dumb comments like "summer of recovery" and "500,000 jobs". Plus he represents all the old establishment baggage that's unpopular these days. If Obama's approval rating is really 50%, he could probably help Coons more than Biden.

[Beet]

Frankly, I thought DioGuardi would do better than he did. It's amazing that Malpass nearly knocked him off.